Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.562.96safe0.43–2.370.71–2.411.14–4.78safer0.18–2.620.48–2.640.66–5.26
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.405.069.46safe2.54–6.263.32–6.815.86–13.07safer2.05–6.752.86–7.274.90–14.02
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5713.9926.56safe8.65–16.5010.43–17.5519.07–34.05safer7.56–17.599.47–18.5117.02–36.10
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.318.5016.81safe5.37–11.255.82–11.1811.19–22.44safer4.54–12.085.08–11.929.62–24.00
Blocked shots
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.426.47safe1.18–4.941.76–5.072.94–10.01safer0.63–5.481.27–5.561.90–11.04
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.169.52safe2.15–6.583.16–7.165.31–13.74safer1.58–7.152.63–7.694.20–14.84
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.3856.28safe36.59–50.1749.49–63.06safer34.92–51.8447.82–64.73
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction379485865safe312–446419–552731–998safer294–465401–569695–1034
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction80.8286.31safe76.79–84.8581.98–90.63safer75.50–86.1480.67–91.94
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2912.4823.76safe8.45–14.129.53–15.4217.98–29.55safer7.69–14.888.78–16.1716.48–31.05
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.563.28safe0.55–2.870.47–2.651.02–5.53safer0.25–3.180.18–2.940.43–6.12
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.204.15safe0.90–3.001.07–3.331.97–6.32safer0.63–3.260.78–3.621.41–6.88
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.866.27safe1.98–4.851.30–4.413.28–9.26safer1.59–5.240.87–4.842.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.56 0.71–2.41 0.48–2.64 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 34% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.86–7.27 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.57 8.65–16.50 7.56–17.59 | 13.99 10.43–17.55 9.47–18.51 | 26.56 19.07–34.05 17.02–36.10 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.37–11.25 4.54–12.08 | 8.50 5.82–11.18 5.08–11.92 | 16.81 11.19–22.44 9.62–24.00 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.63–5.48 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 6.47 2.94–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 37% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.15–6.58 1.58–7.15 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 43.38 36.59–50.17 34.92–51.84 | 56.28 49.49–63.06 47.82–64.73 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 294–465 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.82 76.79–84.85 75.50–86.14 | 86.31 81.98–90.63 80.67–91.94 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 12.48 9.53–15.42 8.78–16.17 | 23.76 17.98–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.26 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.15 1.97–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.85 1.59–5.24 | 2.86 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.84 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+