Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.932.94safe1.04–2.980.08–1.791.12–4.76safer0.79–3.230.00–2.020.64–5.24
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.509.15safe3.78–7.511.76–5.255.54–12.75safer3.29–8.001.30–5.714.59–13.71
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7510.4726.22safe11.82–19.676.91–14.0418.74–33.71safer10.73–20.775.95–15.0016.68–35.76
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.825.7516.56safe7.87–13.763.07–8.4310.94–22.19safer7.04–14.592.33–9.179.37–23.75
Blocked shots
66%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.416.42safe2.12–5.880.76–4.072.88–9.95safer1.58–6.430.27–4.561.85–10.99
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.439.56safe3.92–8.351.43–5.435.35–13.78safer3.35–8.920.90–5.964.24–14.88
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.9039.37safe55.11–68.6932.59–46.16safer53.44–70.3630.92–47.83
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction553352905safe486–620285–418771–1039safer468–639268–436736–1074
Pass accuracy %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction88.0182.16safe83.98–92.0477.84–86.49safer82.69–93.3476.53–87.80
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2712.5226.79safe11.43–17.109.58–15.4721.01–32.57safer10.67–17.868.83–16.2219.51–34.08
Offsides
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.651.053.70safe1.49–3.810.00–2.141.45–5.95safer1.19–4.110.00–2.430.86–6.54
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.833.26safe0.38–2.480.70–2.961.08–5.44safer0.11–2.750.41–3.250.52–6.00
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.465.92safe1.03–3.901.91–5.022.93–8.92safer0.64–4.291.48–5.442.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.64 3.78–7.51 3.29–8.00 | 3.50 1.76–5.25 1.30–5.71 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.75 11.82–19.67 10.73–20.77 | 10.47 6.91–14.04 5.95–15.00 | 26.22 18.74–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.04–14.59 | 5.75 3.07–8.43 2.33–9.17 | 16.56 10.94–22.19 9.37–23.75 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.58–6.43 | 2.41 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 6.42 2.88–9.95 1.85–10.99 | 66% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.90–5.96 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.88 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 61.90 55.11–68.69 53.44–70.36 | 39.37 32.59–46.16 30.92–47.83 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 553 486–620 468–639 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.01 83.98–92.04 82.69–93.34 | 82.16 77.84–86.49 76.53–87.80 | — | 76% 21% |
| Fouls | 14.27 11.43–17.10 10.67–17.86 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 26.79 21.01–32.57 19.51–34.08 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.65 1.49–3.81 1.19–4.11 | 1.05 0.00–2.14 0.00–2.43 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 71% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.75 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–6.00 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 3.46 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 5.92 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 27% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.