Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.080.772.85safe1.11–3.050.00–1.631.03–4.68safer0.86–3.300.00–1.850.55–5.16
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.862.948.80safe4.00–7.721.20–4.685.19–12.40safer3.51–8.210.73–5.154.24–13.36
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.978.5625.54safe13.05–20.905.00–12.1318.05–33.03safer11.96–21.994.04–13.0916.00–35.08
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.754.9115.66safe7.80–13.692.23–7.5910.04–21.28safer6.98–14.521.49–8.338.47–22.85
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.301.826.13safe2.42–6.190.17–3.482.59–9.66safer1.88–6.730.00–3.971.56–10.70
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.079.36safe4.08–8.501.07–5.075.15–13.58safer3.50–9.080.54–5.604.04–14.68
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.5135.11safe57.72–71.3028.33–41.90safer56.05–72.9726.65–43.57
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction568331900safe501–635265–398766–1033safer483–653247–415730–1069
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction86.4777.16safe82.44–90.5072.84–81.49safer81.15–91.7971.53–82.80
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3712.4423.80safe8.53–14.219.49–15.3818.02–29.59safer7.77–14.968.74–16.1316.52–31.09
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.803.62safe0.67–2.990.70–2.891.37–5.88safer0.37–3.290.41–3.180.78–6.47
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.823.55safe0.69–2.790.69–2.951.38–5.73safer0.42–3.050.40–3.240.82–6.29
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
19%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.755.89safe0.70–3.572.20–5.312.90–8.88safer0.31–3.961.77–5.732.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.08 1.11–3.05 0.86–3.30 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.85 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 68% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 2.94 1.20–4.68 0.73–5.15 | 8.80 5.19–12.40 4.24–13.36 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.97 13.05–20.90 11.96–21.99 | 8.56 5.00–12.13 4.04–13.09 | 25.54 18.05–33.03 16.00–35.08 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.75 7.80–13.69 6.98–14.52 | 4.91 2.23–7.59 1.49–8.33 | 15.66 10.04–21.28 8.47–22.85 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.19 1.88–6.73 | 1.82 0.17–3.48 0.00–3.97 | 6.13 2.59–9.66 1.56–10.70 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.50 3.50–9.08 | 3.07 1.07–5.07 0.54–5.60 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 82% |
| Possession % | 64.51 57.72–71.30 56.05–72.97 | 35.11 28.33–41.90 26.65–43.57 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 568 501–635 483–653 | 331 265–398 247–415 | 900 766–1033 730–1069 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.47 82.44–90.50 81.15–91.79 | 77.16 72.84–81.49 71.53–82.80 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.53–14.21 7.77–14.96 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 23.80 18.02–29.59 16.52–31.09 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.18 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.55 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 3.75 2.20–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 19% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.