Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
21%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.002.87safe0.00–1.841.15–2.861.05–4.69safer0.00–2.090.92–3.090.57–5.17
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.305.348.64safe1.44–5.163.60–7.095.04–12.25safer0.95–5.653.13–7.554.08–13.20
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0314.9726.00safe7.11–14.9611.41–18.5318.52–33.49safer6.02–16.0510.45–19.4916.46–35.54
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3310.5116.84safe3.39–9.277.83–13.1911.21–22.46safer2.56–10.107.09–13.939.65–24.03
Blocked shots
35%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.676.87safe1.32–5.092.01–5.323.33–10.40safer0.78–5.631.52–5.812.30–11.44
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.349.50safe1.95–6.383.34–7.345.29–13.71safer1.38–6.952.80–7.874.18–14.82
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1061.08safe32.31–45.8954.29–67.86safer30.64–47.5652.62–69.53
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction322493815safe255–389427–560682–949safer236–407409–577646–985
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.3679.05safe60.33–68.3974.72–83.37safer59.04–69.6973.41–84.68
Fouls
54%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0115.9832.99safe14.17–19.8513.04–18.9327.21–38.77safer13.41–20.6012.29–19.6725.70–40.28
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.893.44safe0.39–2.710.80–2.991.19–5.69safer0.09–3.010.51–3.270.60–6.28
Yellow cards
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.575.55safe1.94–4.041.44–3.693.37–7.73safer1.67–4.301.15–3.992.82–8.29
Red cards
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.140.31safe0.00–0.330.00–0.330.00–0.66safer0.00–0.480.00–0.460.00–0.94
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.435.69safe1.82–4.690.87–3.992.69–8.68safer1.43–5.080.45–4.411.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 15% 21% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.30 1.44–5.16 0.95–5.65 | 5.34 3.60–7.09 3.13–7.55 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.20 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.03 7.11–14.96 6.02–16.05 | 14.97 11.41–18.53 10.45–19.49 | 26.00 18.52–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.33 3.39–9.27 2.56–10.10 | 10.51 7.83–13.19 7.09–13.93 | 16.84 11.21–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.67 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 35% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.38 1.38–6.95 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.80–7.87 | 9.50 5.29–13.71 4.18–14.82 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 39.10 32.31–45.89 30.64–47.56 | 61.08 54.29–67.86 52.62–69.53 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 322 255–389 236–407 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 815 682–949 646–985 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.36 60.33–68.39 59.04–69.69 | 79.05 74.72–83.37 73.41–84.68 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 17.01 14.17–19.85 13.41–20.60 | 15.98 13.04–18.93 12.29–19.67 | 32.99 27.21–38.77 25.70–40.28 | 54% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.99 1.94–4.04 1.67–4.30 | 2.57 1.44–3.69 1.15–3.99 | 5.55 3.37–7.73 2.82–8.29 | 48% 17% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 13% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 2.43 0.87–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 5.69 2.69–8.68 1.88–9.49 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.