Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.292.46safe0.20–2.130.44–2.140.63–4.28safer0.00–2.390.21–2.370.15–4.76
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.188.15safe2.11–5.842.44–5.924.55–11.76safer1.62–6.321.97–6.393.59–12.71
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.0224.93safe7.98–15.839.46–16.5817.44–32.42safer6.89–16.928.50–17.5415.39–34.47
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.3016.23safe4.99–10.885.62–10.9810.61–21.86safer4.16–11.714.88–11.729.04–23.42
Blocked shots
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.506.49safe1.11–4.871.85–5.152.96–10.03safer0.57–5.421.36–5.651.92–11.06
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.639.70safe2.86–7.292.63–6.635.49–13.92safer2.29–7.862.09–7.164.38–15.02
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.8851.57safe42.09–55.6744.78–58.35safer40.42–57.3443.11–60.02
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction382399781safe315–449333–466648–915safer297–467315–483612–951
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction64.1369.22safe60.10–68.1664.89–73.54safer58.81–69.4563.58–74.85
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1815.1131.29safe13.34–19.0112.17–18.0625.51–37.07safer12.58–19.7711.42–18.8024.00–38.57
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.483.27safe0.63–2.950.39–2.581.02–5.52safer0.33–3.250.10–2.860.43–6.11
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.524.69safe1.12–3.221.39–3.652.51–6.87safer0.86–3.491.10–3.941.95–7.43
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.765.70safe1.51–4.381.20–4.312.71–8.69safer1.12–4.770.77–4.741.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.29 0.44–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.46 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 33% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.84 1.62–6.32 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 8.15 4.55–11.76 3.59–12.71 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 11.91 7.98–15.83 6.89–16.92 | 13.02 9.46–16.58 8.50–17.54 | 24.93 17.44–32.42 15.39–34.47 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.88 4.16–11.71 | 8.30 5.62–10.98 4.88–11.72 | 16.23 10.61–21.86 9.04–23.42 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.57–5.42 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 6.49 2.96–10.03 1.92–11.06 | 34% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.09–7.16 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.88 42.09–55.67 40.42–57.34 | 51.57 44.78–58.35 43.11–60.02 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–467 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 781 648–915 612–951 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.13 60.10–68.16 58.81–69.45 | 69.22 64.89–73.54 63.58–74.85 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 16.18 13.34–19.01 12.58–19.77 | 15.11 12.17–18.06 11.42–18.80 | 31.29 25.51–37.07 24.00–38.57 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.27 1.02–5.52 0.43–6.11 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.69 2.51–6.87 1.95–7.43 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.51 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.