Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.742.383.12safe0.00–1.711.53–3.241.30–4.95safer0.00–1.961.30–3.460.82–5.43
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.666.028.69safe0.80–4.534.28–7.775.08–12.29safer0.31–5.023.81–8.234.13–13.25
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7316.8126.53safe5.80–13.6513.24–20.3719.05–34.02safer4.71–14.7412.28–21.3317.00–36.07
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.0911.1116.20safe2.15–8.038.43–13.7910.58–21.83safer1.32–8.867.69–14.539.01–23.39
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.316.77safe0.58–4.342.66–5.973.24–10.31safer0.03–4.892.17–6.462.20–11.34
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.356.179.52safe1.13–5.564.17–8.175.30–13.73safer0.56–6.133.64–8.704.20–14.84
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.2367.03safe26.44–40.0260.25–73.82safer24.77–41.6958.58–75.49
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction284531815safe217–351465–598682–949safer199–369447–615646–985
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction61.3280.18safe57.29–65.3575.86–84.51safer56.00–66.6474.55–85.81
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6114.4931.10safe13.77–19.4411.55–17.4425.32–36.88safer13.01–20.2010.80–18.1923.81–38.39
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.483.02safe0.38–2.700.38–2.570.76–5.27safer0.08–3.000.10–2.860.17–5.86
Yellow cards
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.254.91safe1.61–3.711.12–3.382.73–7.09safer1.35–3.980.83–3.672.18–7.65
Red cards
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.120.29safe0.00–0.320.00–0.310.00–0.64safer0.00–0.470.00–0.440.00–0.92
GK saves
70%
13%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.136.01safe2.45–5.320.57–3.683.02–9.01safer2.06–5.710.15–4.112.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.74 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.96 | 2.38 1.53–3.24 1.30–3.46 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 16% 74% |
| Shots on target | 2.66 0.80–4.53 0.31–5.02 | 6.02 4.28–7.77 3.81–8.23 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 84% |
| Total shots | 9.73 5.80–13.65 4.71–14.74 | 16.81 13.24–20.37 12.28–21.33 | 26.53 19.05–34.02 17.00–36.07 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.09 2.15–8.03 1.32–8.86 | 11.11 8.43–13.79 7.69–14.53 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.46 0.58–4.34 0.03–4.89 | 4.31 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.35 1.13–5.56 0.56–6.13 | 6.17 4.17–8.17 3.64–8.70 | 9.52 5.30–13.73 4.20–14.84 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 33.23 26.44–40.02 24.77–41.69 | 67.03 60.25–73.82 58.58–75.49 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 284 217–351 199–369 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 815 682–949 646–985 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.32 57.29–65.35 56.00–66.64 | 80.18 75.86–84.51 74.55–85.81 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 16.61 13.77–19.44 13.01–20.20 | 14.49 11.55–17.44 10.80–18.19 | 31.10 25.32–36.88 23.81–38.39 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.02 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.66 1.61–3.71 1.35–3.98 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.91 2.73–7.09 2.18–7.65 | 48% 18% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 14% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.89 2.45–5.32 2.06–5.71 | 2.13 0.57–3.68 0.15–4.11 | 6.01 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 70% 13% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.