Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.022.44safe0.45–2.390.16–1.870.62–4.26safer0.20–2.640.00–2.100.14–4.74
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.783.658.43safe2.92–6.651.90–5.394.83–12.04safer2.43–7.141.44–5.863.87–12.99
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8911.2225.11safe9.97–17.827.65–14.7817.62–32.60safer8.88–18.916.69–15.7415.57–34.65
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.826.8415.65safe5.87–11.764.16–9.5210.03–21.28safer5.04–12.593.42–10.268.46–22.84
Blocked shots
54%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.656.04safe1.50–5.271.00–4.312.50–9.57safer0.96–5.810.51–4.801.47–10.61
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.949.38safe3.22–7.651.94–5.945.16–13.59safer2.64–8.221.41–6.484.05–14.70
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.0050.18safe42.21–55.7943.39–56.96safer40.54–57.4641.72–58.63
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction409395804safe342–476329–461671–938safer324–495311–479635–974
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction69.6270.33safe65.59–73.6566.01–74.66safer64.30–74.9464.70–75.97
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8615.6732.53safe14.02–19.7012.72–18.6126.75–38.31safer13.27–20.4511.97–19.3625.24–39.81
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.743.64safe0.74–3.060.65–2.841.39–5.89safer0.43–3.360.36–3.130.80–6.48
Yellow cards
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.665.12safe1.41–3.511.53–3.792.94–7.30safer1.15–3.781.24–4.082.39–7.86
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.185.83safe1.21–4.091.62–4.742.84–8.82safer0.83–4.471.20–5.162.03–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.65 2.43–7.14 | 3.65 1.90–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 8.43 4.83–12.04 3.87–12.99 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.97–17.82 8.88–18.91 | 11.22 7.65–14.78 6.69–15.74 | 25.11 17.62–32.60 15.57–34.65 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.82 5.87–11.76 5.04–12.59 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.42–10.26 | 15.65 10.03–21.28 8.46–22.84 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.04 2.50–9.57 1.47–10.61 | 54% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.64–8.22 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.48 | 9.38 5.16–13.59 4.05–14.70 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.00 42.21–55.79 40.54–57.46 | 50.18 43.39–56.96 41.72–58.63 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–495 | 395 329–461 311–479 | 804 671–938 635–974 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.62 65.59–73.65 64.30–74.94 | 70.33 66.01–74.66 64.70–75.97 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 16.86 14.02–19.70 13.27–20.45 | 15.67 12.72–18.61 11.97–19.36 | 32.53 26.75–38.31 25.24–39.81 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.64 1.39–5.89 0.80–6.48 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.46 1.41–3.51 1.15–3.78 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 5.12 2.94–7.30 2.39–7.86 | 38% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.09 0.83–4.47 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.63 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.