Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.722.60safe0.92–2.850.00–1.570.78–4.42safer0.67–3.110.00–1.800.30–4.90
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.032.338.36safe4.17–7.890.58–4.074.75–11.96safer3.68–8.380.12–4.533.80–12.92
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.647.4726.11safe14.71–22.563.91–11.0418.62–33.60safer13.62–23.652.95–12.0016.57–35.65
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction11.624.3015.92safe8.68–14.561.62–6.9810.30–21.55safer7.85–15.390.88–7.728.73–23.11
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.651.906.55safe2.77–6.530.24–3.553.01–10.08safer2.23–7.080.00–4.041.98–11.12
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.162.8510.02safe4.95–9.380.85–4.855.80–14.23safer4.38–9.950.32–5.394.70–15.34
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.3139.82safe52.52–66.1033.04–46.61safer50.85–67.7731.37–48.28
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction498323821safe431–566256–389688–955safer413–584239–407652–991
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction74.2165.85safe70.18–78.2461.53–70.18safer68.89–79.5360.22–71.49
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1913.2928.48safe12.35–18.0310.35–16.2322.70–34.26safer11.60–18.789.60–16.9821.19–35.77
Offsides
46%
19%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.104.52safe1.26–3.581.00–3.192.27–6.77safer0.96–3.880.71–3.481.68–7.36
Yellow cards
26%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.774.66safe0.84–2.941.64–3.902.49–6.84safer0.58–3.211.35–4.191.93–7.40
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.723.985.70safe0.28–3.162.42–5.542.71–8.69safer0.00–3.542.00–5.961.90–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.11 | 0.72 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 65% 21% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.03 4.17–7.89 3.68–8.38 | 2.33 0.58–4.07 0.12–4.53 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.64 14.71–22.56 13.62–23.65 | 7.47 3.91–11.04 2.95–12.00 | 26.11 18.62–33.60 16.57–35.65 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.56 7.85–15.39 | 4.30 1.62–6.98 0.88–7.72 | 15.92 10.30–21.55 8.73–23.11 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.23–7.08 | 1.90 0.24–3.55 0.00–4.04 | 6.55 3.01–10.08 1.98–11.12 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.16 4.95–9.38 4.38–9.95 | 2.85 0.85–4.85 0.32–5.39 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 89% |
| Possession % | 59.31 52.52–66.10 50.85–67.77 | 39.82 33.04–46.61 31.37–48.28 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 498 431–566 413–584 | 323 256–389 239–407 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.21 70.18–78.24 68.89–79.53 | 65.85 61.53–70.18 60.22–71.49 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.19 12.35–18.03 11.60–18.78 | 13.29 10.35–16.23 9.60–16.98 | 28.48 22.70–34.26 21.19–35.77 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.48 | 4.52 2.27–6.77 1.68–7.36 | 46% 19% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 4.66 2.49–6.84 1.93–7.40 | 26% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 1.72 0.28–3.16 0.00–3.54 | 3.98 2.42–5.54 2.00–5.96 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.50 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+