Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.793.38safe1.62–3.550.00–1.641.55–5.20safer1.37–3.810.00–1.871.07–5.68
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.422.6510.07safe5.56–9.280.91–4.396.46–13.67safer5.07–9.770.44–4.865.51–14.63
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.777.9927.77safe15.85–23.704.43–11.5620.28–35.25safer14.76–24.793.47–12.5118.23–37.30
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.875.0217.88safe9.92–15.812.34–7.7012.26–23.51safer9.09–16.641.60–8.4410.69–25.07
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.022.557.57safe3.14–6.900.89–4.204.03–11.10safer2.60–7.450.40–4.693.00–12.14
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.952.869.80safe4.73–9.160.86–4.865.59–14.02safer4.16–9.730.32–5.394.48–15.13
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.9641.09safe52.17–65.7534.30–47.87safer50.50–67.4232.63–49.54
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction549370919safe482–616304–436785–1053safer464–634286–454749–1088
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction74.6069.09safe70.57–78.6364.77–73.42safer69.28–79.9263.46–74.73
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4012.7128.11safe12.56–18.249.77–15.6622.33–33.89safer11.81–18.999.02–16.4120.82–35.40
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.333.69safe1.20–3.520.24–2.431.44–5.95safer0.90–3.820.00–2.710.85–6.54
Yellow cards
29%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.434.27safe0.79–2.891.30–3.562.09–6.45safer0.52–3.151.01–3.851.53–7.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.914.846.75safe0.47–3.353.28–6.393.76–9.74safer0.09–3.732.86–6.822.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.62–3.55 1.37–3.81 | 0.79 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.87 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.42 5.56–9.28 5.07–9.77 | 2.65 0.91–4.39 0.44–4.86 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.77 15.85–23.70 14.76–24.79 | 7.99 4.43–11.56 3.47–12.51 | 27.77 20.28–35.25 18.23–37.30 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.92–15.81 9.09–16.64 | 5.02 2.34–7.70 1.60–8.44 | 17.88 12.26–23.51 10.69–25.07 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.02 3.14–6.90 2.60–7.45 | 2.55 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.73–9.16 4.16–9.73 | 2.86 0.86–4.86 0.32–5.39 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.13 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.96 52.17–65.75 50.50–67.42 | 41.09 34.30–47.87 32.63–49.54 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 549 482–616 464–634 | 370 304–436 286–454 | 919 785–1053 749–1088 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.60 70.57–78.63 69.28–79.92 | 69.09 64.77–73.42 63.46–74.73 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 15.40 12.56–18.24 11.81–18.99 | 12.71 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 28.11 22.33–33.89 20.82–35.40 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.90–3.82 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.47–3.35 0.09–3.73 | 4.84 3.28–6.39 2.86–6.82 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.