Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
30%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.092.13safe0.07–2.010.23–1.940.30–3.95safer0.00–2.260.01–2.170.00–4.43
Shots on target
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.597.15safe1.70–5.431.85–5.333.55–10.76safer1.21–5.921.38–5.802.59–11.71
Total shots
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8311.3822.21safe6.91–14.767.81–14.9414.72–29.70safer5.82–15.856.86–15.9012.67–31.75
Shots in box
42%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction6.756.9713.73safe3.81–9.704.29–9.658.10–19.35safer2.98–10.523.55–10.396.54–20.92
Blocked shots
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.795.30safe0.62–4.391.14–4.451.76–8.83safer0.08–4.930.65–4.940.73–9.87
Corners
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.008.89safe2.68–7.112.00–6.004.68–13.11safer2.11–7.691.46–6.533.57–14.21
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.4950.11safe43.70–57.2843.32–56.89safer42.03–58.9541.65–58.56
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction412386798safe345–479319–452664–932safer327–497302–470628–967
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.3668.83safe64.33–72.3964.51–73.15safer63.04–73.6863.20–74.46
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1116.8132.92safe13.27–18.9513.87–19.7627.14–38.71safer12.52–19.7013.12–20.5125.64–40.21
Offsides
55%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.571.794.36safe1.41–3.730.70–2.882.11–6.61safer1.11–4.030.41–3.171.52–7.20
Yellow cards
33%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.905.32safe1.37–3.471.77–4.033.15–7.50safer1.11–3.741.48–4.322.59–8.06
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.160.31safe0.00–0.310.00–0.340.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.480.00–0.94
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.585.06safe1.05–3.921.03–4.142.07–8.06safer0.66–4.310.60–4.561.26–8.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 2.13 0.30–3.95 0.00–4.43 | 34% 30% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 7.15 3.55–10.76 2.59–11.71 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 10.83 6.91–14.76 5.82–15.85 | 11.38 7.81–14.94 6.86–15.90 | 22.21 14.72–29.70 12.67–31.75 | 41% 50% |
| Shots in box | 6.75 3.81–9.70 2.98–10.52 | 6.97 4.29–9.65 3.55–10.39 | 13.73 8.10–19.35 6.54–20.92 | 42% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 2.50 0.62–4.39 0.08–4.93 | 2.79 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 5.30 1.76–8.83 0.73–9.87 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.69 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 8.89 4.68–13.11 3.57–14.21 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.49 43.70–57.28 42.03–58.95 | 50.11 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.56 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–497 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 798 664–932 628–967 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.36 64.33–72.39 63.04–73.68 | 68.83 64.51–73.15 63.20–74.46 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 16.11 13.27–18.95 12.52–19.70 | 16.81 13.87–19.76 13.12–20.51 | 32.92 27.14–38.71 25.64–40.21 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 4.36 2.11–6.61 1.52–7.20 | 55% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.37–3.47 1.11–3.74 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.32 3.15–7.50 2.59–8.06 | 33% 17% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 5.06 2.07–8.06 1.26–8.87 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.