Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.932.93safe1.03–2.960.08–1.781.10–4.75safer0.78–3.220.00–2.010.62–5.23
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.893.479.36safe4.02–7.751.73–5.215.75–12.96safer3.53–8.241.26–5.684.79–13.92
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0210.1226.13safe12.09–19.946.55–13.6818.64–33.62safer11.00–21.035.59–14.6416.59–35.67
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.366.5417.90safe8.41–14.303.86–9.2212.27–23.52safer7.58–15.133.12–9.9610.71–25.09
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.566.94safe2.50–6.260.90–4.213.40–10.47safer1.95–6.810.41–4.702.37–11.51
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.659.49safe3.63–8.061.65–5.655.28–13.70safer3.06–8.631.12–6.184.17–14.81
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.1242.76safe51.33–64.9135.98–49.55safer49.66–66.5834.31–51.22
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction463322784safe395–530255–388651–918safer377–548238–406615–954
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction75.9770.68safe71.94–80.0066.35–75.00safer70.64–81.2965.05–76.31
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6116.1429.75safe10.77–16.4513.19–19.0823.97–35.53safer10.02–17.2012.44–19.8322.46–37.04
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.392.96safe0.41–2.730.30–2.480.71–5.22safer0.11–3.030.01–2.770.12–5.81
Yellow cards
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.185.50safe1.27–3.362.05–4.313.32–7.68safer1.00–3.631.76–4.602.76–8.23
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.160.30safe0.00–0.300.00–0.350.00–0.65safer0.00–0.450.00–0.480.00–0.93
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.766.19safe0.99–3.872.21–5.323.20–9.19safer0.61–4.251.78–5.742.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.96 0.78–3.22 | 0.93 0.08–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.89 4.02–7.75 3.53–8.24 | 3.47 1.73–5.21 1.26–5.68 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.92 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.02 12.09–19.94 11.00–21.03 | 10.12 6.55–13.68 5.59–14.64 | 26.13 18.64–33.62 16.59–35.67 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.36 8.41–14.30 7.58–15.13 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 17.90 12.27–23.52 10.71–25.09 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.95–6.81 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.12–6.18 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 58.12 51.33–64.91 49.66–66.58 | 42.76 35.98–49.55 34.31–51.22 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 322 255–388 238–406 | 784 651–918 615–954 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.97 71.94–80.00 70.64–81.29 | 70.68 66.35–75.00 65.05–76.31 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 13.61 10.77–16.45 10.02–17.20 | 16.14 13.19–19.08 12.44–19.83 | 29.75 23.97–35.53 22.46–37.04 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.31 1.27–3.36 1.00–3.63 | 3.18 2.05–4.31 1.76–4.60 | 5.50 3.32–7.68 2.76–8.23 | 28% 16% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.87 0.61–4.25 | 3.76 2.21–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.19 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.