Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.362.47safe0.14–2.080.51–2.210.65–4.29safer0.00–2.330.28–2.440.17–4.77
Shots on target
36%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.618.66safe2.18–5.912.87–6.355.05–12.26safer1.69–6.402.40–6.824.10–13.22
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9213.3425.27safe8.00–15.859.78–16.9117.78–32.75safer6.91–16.948.82–17.8615.73–34.80
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.528.4916.01safe4.57–10.465.81–11.1710.38–21.63safer3.75–11.295.07–11.918.82–23.20
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.746.72safe1.10–4.862.09–5.393.19–10.26safer0.56–5.411.59–5.882.15–11.29
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.119.40safe2.08–6.503.10–7.115.18–13.61safer1.50–7.082.57–7.644.08–14.72
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.8758.49safe35.08–48.6651.71–65.28safer33.41–50.3350.03–66.95
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction331455786safe264–398388–521652–919safer245–416371–539616–955
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction63.2774.58safe59.24–67.3070.25–78.90safer57.94–68.5968.94–80.21
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1716.6830.84safe11.33–17.0113.73–19.6225.06–36.63safer10.57–17.7612.98–20.3723.56–38.13
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.714.14safe1.26–3.590.62–2.811.89–6.39safer0.96–3.890.33–3.101.30–6.98
Yellow cards
42%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.745.56safe1.76–3.861.61–3.873.38–7.73safer1.50–4.131.32–4.162.82–8.29
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.785.76safe1.55–4.421.22–4.332.77–8.76safer1.16–4.810.79–4.761.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.36 0.51–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 4.61 2.87–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 8.66 5.05–12.26 4.10–13.22 | 36% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.92 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 13.34 9.78–16.91 8.82–17.86 | 25.27 17.78–32.75 15.73–34.80 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.52 4.57–10.46 3.75–11.29 | 8.49 5.81–11.17 5.07–11.91 | 16.01 10.38–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.56–5.41 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.50 1.50–7.08 | 5.11 3.10–7.11 2.57–7.64 | 9.40 5.18–13.61 4.08–14.72 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 41.87 35.08–48.66 33.41–50.33 | 58.49 51.71–65.28 50.03–66.95 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 331 264–398 245–416 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 786 652–919 616–955 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.27 59.24–67.30 57.94–68.59 | 74.58 70.25–78.90 68.94–80.21 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 14.17 11.33–17.01 10.57–17.76 | 16.68 13.73–19.62 12.98–20.37 | 30.84 25.06–36.63 23.56–38.13 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.59 0.96–3.89 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 4.14 1.89–6.39 1.30–6.98 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.81 1.76–3.86 1.50–4.13 | 2.74 1.61–3.87 1.32–4.16 | 5.56 3.38–7.73 2.82–8.29 | 42% 17% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 2.78 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.76 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.