Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.842.76safe0.00–1.890.98–2.690.94–4.59safer0.00–2.140.76–2.920.46–5.06
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.265.438.69safe1.40–5.123.69–7.185.09–12.30safer0.91–5.613.22–7.644.13–13.25
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3415.1126.44safe7.41–15.2611.54–18.6718.95–33.93safer6.32–16.3510.58–19.6316.90–35.98
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.169.8315.99safe3.22–9.107.15–12.5110.37–21.61safer2.39–9.936.41–13.258.80–23.18
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.927.23safe1.43–5.202.26–5.573.69–10.76safer0.89–5.741.77–6.062.66–11.80
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.459.56safe1.89–6.323.45–7.455.34–13.77safer1.32–6.892.92–7.984.24–14.88
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.6960.55safe32.90–46.4853.77–67.34safer31.23–48.1552.10–69.01
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction335496832safe268–403430–563698–965safer250–421412–580662–1001
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.8177.07safe57.78–65.8472.74–81.39safer56.49–67.1371.44–82.70
Fouls
37%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5316.9632.49safe12.69–18.3614.02–19.9126.71–38.27safer11.93–19.1213.27–20.6625.21–39.78
Offsides
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.823.43safe0.44–2.760.73–2.921.17–5.68safer0.14–3.070.44–3.210.58–6.27
Yellow cards
42%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.775.60safe1.78–3.881.64–3.903.42–7.78safer1.51–4.141.35–4.192.86–8.33
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.150.28safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.440.00–0.470.00–0.91
GK saves
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.295.79safe2.07–4.940.73–3.842.80–8.78safer1.68–5.330.30–4.271.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.76–2.92 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.06 | 19% 23% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.12 0.91–5.61 | 5.43 3.69–7.18 3.22–7.64 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.41–15.26 6.32–16.35 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.58–19.63 | 26.44 18.95–33.93 16.90–35.98 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.16 3.22–9.10 2.39–9.93 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 15.99 10.37–21.61 8.80–23.18 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.20 0.89–5.74 | 3.92 2.26–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.89–6.32 1.32–6.89 | 5.45 3.45–7.45 2.92–7.98 | 9.56 5.34–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 39.69 32.90–46.48 31.23–48.15 | 60.55 53.77–67.34 52.10–69.01 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 335 268–403 250–421 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 832 698–965 662–1001 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.81 57.78–65.84 56.49–67.13 | 77.07 72.74–81.39 71.44–82.70 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 15.53 12.69–18.36 11.93–19.12 | 16.96 14.02–19.91 13.27–20.66 | 32.49 26.71–38.27 25.21–39.78 | 37% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.07 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.83 1.78–3.88 1.51–4.14 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 5.60 3.42–7.78 2.86–8.33 | 42% 17% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.94 1.68–5.33 | 2.29 0.73–3.84 0.30–4.27 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.60 | 62% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.