Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.002.28safe0.31–2.250.14–1.850.46–4.10safer0.06–2.500.00–2.080.00–4.58
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.417.64safe2.37–6.091.66–5.154.03–11.24safer1.88–6.581.20–5.613.08–12.20
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3910.5622.95safe8.47–16.326.99–14.1215.46–30.44safer7.38–17.416.04–15.0813.41–32.49
Shots in box
47%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction7.307.0414.34safe4.36–10.244.36–9.738.72–19.97safer3.53–11.073.63–10.467.15–21.53
Blocked shots
55%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.425.68safe1.37–5.140.77–4.072.14–9.21safer0.83–5.680.27–4.561.10–10.25
Corners
51%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.098.80safe2.50–6.922.09–6.094.59–13.02safer1.92–7.501.56–6.623.48–14.12
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.9248.35safe46.13–59.7141.56–55.13safer44.46–61.3839.89–56.80
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction422385807safe355–489319–452674–941safer337–507301–469638–977
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction67.8269.61safe63.79–71.8565.29–73.94safer62.50–73.1563.98–75.25
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0316.0332.06safe13.19–18.8713.08–18.9726.28–37.84safer12.44–19.6312.33–19.7224.77–39.34
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.314.15safe0.68–3.001.22–3.401.90–6.40safer0.38–3.300.93–3.691.31–6.99
Yellow cards
27%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.015.12safe1.07–3.161.88–4.142.94–7.30safer0.80–3.431.59–4.432.39–7.86
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.22safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.85
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.725.09safe0.93–3.801.17–4.282.09–8.08safer0.54–4.190.74–4.701.28–8.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.28 0.46–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 43% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 3.41 1.66–5.15 1.20–5.61 | 7.64 4.03–11.24 3.08–12.20 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 12.39 8.47–16.32 7.38–17.41 | 10.56 6.99–14.12 6.04–15.08 | 22.95 15.46–30.44 13.41–32.49 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 7.30 4.36–10.24 3.53–11.07 | 7.04 4.36–9.73 3.63–10.46 | 14.34 8.72–19.97 7.15–21.53 | 47% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 2.42 0.77–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 5.68 2.14–9.21 1.10–10.25 | 55% 16% 28% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.56–6.62 | 8.80 4.59–13.02 3.48–14.12 | 51% 13% 35% |
| Possession % | 52.92 46.13–59.71 44.46–61.38 | 48.35 41.56–55.13 39.89–56.80 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 337–507 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 807 674–941 638–977 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.82 63.79–71.85 62.50–73.15 | 69.61 65.29–73.94 63.98–75.25 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 16.03 13.19–18.87 12.44–19.63 | 16.03 13.08–18.97 12.33–19.72 | 32.06 26.28–37.84 24.77–39.34 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.31 1.22–3.40 0.93–3.69 | 4.15 1.90–6.40 1.31–6.99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 3.01 1.88–4.14 1.59–4.43 | 5.12 2.94–7.30 2.39–7.86 | 27% 17% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 5.09 2.09–8.08 1.28–8.89 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.