Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.420.892.31safe0.46–2.390.03–1.740.49–4.14safer0.21–2.640.00–1.970.01–4.62
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.128.23safe3.24–6.971.38–4.864.62–11.83safer2.75–7.460.91–5.333.67–12.79
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.258.9825.23safe12.32–20.175.42–12.5517.74–32.72safer11.23–21.264.46–13.5115.69–34.77
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction9.575.4315.00safe6.63–12.512.75–8.119.38–20.62safer5.80–13.342.01–8.857.81–22.19
Blocked shots
76%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.046.36safe2.44–6.210.39–3.692.83–9.90safer1.90–6.750.00–4.181.79–10.94
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.043.459.48safe3.82–8.251.45–5.455.27–13.70safer3.25–8.820.91–5.984.16–14.80
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.1442.41safe51.35–64.9335.63–49.20safer49.68–66.6033.96–50.87
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction455328783safe388–522261–394649–917safer370–540244–412613–952
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction66.0363.06safe62.00–70.0658.73–67.38safer60.71–71.3557.42–68.69
Fouls
58%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7016.0733.78safe14.86–20.5413.13–19.0227.99–39.56safer14.11–21.3012.38–19.7726.49–41.06
Offsides
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.784.29safe0.35–2.671.68–3.872.04–6.54safer0.05–2.981.39–4.161.45–7.13
Yellow cards
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.895.51safe1.57–3.671.76–4.023.33–7.68safer1.30–3.931.47–4.312.77–8.24
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.170.30safe0.00–0.290.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.490.00–0.93
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.715.90safe0.75–3.632.16–5.272.91–8.90safer0.37–4.011.73–5.692.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.64 | 0.89 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.31 0.49–4.14 0.01–4.62 | 50% 27% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 3.12 1.38–4.86 0.91–5.33 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.67–12.79 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 8.98 5.42–12.55 4.46–13.51 | 25.23 17.74–32.72 15.69–34.77 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 5.43 2.75–8.11 2.01–8.85 | 15.00 9.38–20.62 7.81–22.19 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.18 | 6.36 2.83–9.90 1.79–10.94 | 76% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 58.14 51.35–64.93 49.68–66.60 | 42.41 35.63–49.20 33.96–50.87 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 455 388–522 370–540 | 328 261–394 244–412 | 783 649–917 613–952 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.03 62.00–70.06 60.71–71.35 | 63.06 58.73–67.38 57.42–68.69 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 17.70 14.86–20.54 14.11–21.30 | 16.07 13.13–19.02 12.38–19.77 | 33.78 27.99–39.56 26.49–41.06 | 58% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.98 | 2.78 1.68–3.87 1.39–4.16 | 4.29 2.04–6.54 1.45–7.13 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.62 1.57–3.67 1.30–3.93 | 2.89 1.76–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 5.51 3.33–7.68 2.77–8.24 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 3.71 2.16–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.