Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.212.48safe0.30–2.240.35–2.060.66–4.30safer0.05–2.490.13–2.290.18–4.78
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.088.03safe2.08–5.802.34–5.834.42–11.63safer1.59–6.291.88–6.293.47–12.59
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8312.6624.49safe7.91–15.769.10–16.2217.01–31.98safer6.82–16.858.14–17.1814.96–34.03
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction6.637.7114.33safe3.68–9.575.03–10.398.71–19.95safer2.85–10.404.29–11.127.14–21.52
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.156.28safe1.25–5.021.50–4.802.75–9.82safer0.71–5.561.00–5.291.71–10.86
Corners
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.739.38safe2.44–6.872.73–6.735.17–13.60safer1.87–7.442.20–7.264.06–14.70
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.9347.96safe46.14–59.7241.17–54.74safer44.47–61.3939.50–56.42
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction476409885safe409–543343–476751–1019safer391–561325–493716–1054
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction68.0770.30safe64.04–72.1065.98–74.63safer62.75–73.3964.67–75.93
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4415.1928.63safe10.60–16.2712.25–18.1422.85–34.41safer9.84–17.0311.50–18.8921.34–35.92
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.033.74safe0.55–2.870.93–3.121.48–5.99safer0.25–3.170.64–3.410.89–6.58
Yellow cards
37%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.514.79safe1.23–3.331.38–3.632.61–6.96safer0.96–3.601.09–3.932.05–7.52
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.735.60safe1.44–4.311.17–4.292.61–8.60safer1.05–4.700.75–4.711.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 4.08 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.29 | 8.03 4.42–11.63 3.47–12.59 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.83 7.91–15.76 6.82–16.85 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 24.49 17.01–31.98 14.96–34.03 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.68–9.57 2.85–10.40 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.12 | 14.33 8.71–19.95 7.14–21.52 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.25–5.02 0.71–5.56 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.28 2.75–9.82 1.71–10.86 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.65 2.44–6.87 1.87–7.44 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.20–7.26 | 9.38 5.17–13.60 4.06–14.70 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 52.93 46.14–59.72 44.47–61.39 | 47.96 41.17–54.74 39.50–56.42 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 476 409–543 391–561 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.07 64.04–72.10 62.75–73.39 | 70.30 65.98–74.63 64.67–75.93 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 13.44 10.60–16.27 9.84–17.03 | 15.19 12.25–18.14 11.50–18.89 | 28.63 22.85–34.41 21.34–35.92 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.03 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.41 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.60 | 2.51 1.38–3.63 1.09–3.93 | 4.79 2.61–6.96 2.05–7.52 | 37% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 5.60 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+