Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.292.61safe0.36–2.290.43–2.140.79–4.44safer0.11–2.550.21–2.370.31–4.92
Shots on target
50%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.707.94safe2.38–6.101.95–5.444.33–11.54safer1.89–6.591.49–5.913.38–12.50
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5910.9023.49safe8.67–16.527.33–14.4616.00–30.98safer7.58–17.616.37–15.4213.95–33.03
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction7.757.1514.91safe4.81–10.704.47–9.839.28–20.53safer3.98–11.533.73–10.577.72–22.10
Blocked shots
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.415.79safe1.50–5.260.76–4.072.26–9.33safer0.95–5.800.27–4.561.22–10.36
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.639.23safe2.40–6.822.62–6.635.02–13.45safer1.82–7.402.09–7.163.91–14.55
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.6948.64safe45.90–59.4841.85–55.42safer44.23–61.1540.18–57.09
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction401360760safe333–468293–426627–894safer315–486276–444591–930
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction66.1968.06safe62.16–70.2163.74–72.39safer60.86–71.5162.43–73.69
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8216.8031.62safe11.98–17.6613.86–19.7525.84–37.40safer11.23–18.4113.11–20.5024.34–38.91
Offsides
16%
16%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.844.24safe0.23–2.551.75–3.941.98–6.49safer0.00–2.861.46–4.231.40–7.08
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.474.93safe1.41–3.511.34–3.602.75–7.11safer1.14–3.771.05–3.892.19–7.66
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
32%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.925.30safe0.95–3.821.36–4.472.31–8.29safer0.56–4.210.94–4.901.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.55 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 3.70 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.91 | 7.94 4.33–11.54 3.38–12.50 | 50% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.59 8.67–16.52 7.58–17.61 | 10.90 7.33–14.46 6.37–15.42 | 23.49 16.00–30.98 13.95–33.03 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 7.75 4.81–10.70 3.98–11.53 | 7.15 4.47–9.83 3.73–10.57 | 14.91 9.28–20.53 7.72–22.10 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 2.41 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 5.79 2.26–9.33 1.22–10.36 | 57% 16% 27% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.40–6.82 1.82–7.40 | 4.63 2.62–6.63 2.09–7.16 | 9.23 5.02–13.45 3.91–14.55 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 52.69 45.90–59.48 44.23–61.15 | 48.64 41.85–55.42 40.18–57.09 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 401 333–468 315–486 | 360 293–426 276–444 | 760 627–894 591–930 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.19 62.16–70.21 60.86–71.51 | 68.06 63.74–72.39 62.43–73.69 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 14.82 11.98–17.66 11.23–18.41 | 16.80 13.86–19.75 13.11–20.50 | 31.62 25.84–37.40 24.34–38.91 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.86 | 2.84 1.75–3.94 1.46–4.23 | 4.24 1.98–6.49 1.40–7.08 | 16% 16% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 2.46 1.41–3.51 1.14–3.77 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.93 2.75–7.11 2.19–7.66 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.30 2.31–8.29 1.50–9.11 | 32% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+