Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.202.41safe0.25–2.180.34–2.050.59–4.24safer0.00–2.430.12–2.280.11–4.72
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.268.47safe2.35–6.072.52–6.004.86–12.07safer1.86–6.562.05–6.473.91–13.03
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9513.4525.40safe8.02–15.879.89–17.0217.91–32.89safer6.93–16.968.93–17.9715.86–34.94
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.057.8915.93safe5.10–10.995.21–10.5710.31–21.56safer4.27–11.824.47–11.318.74–23.12
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.736.52safe0.90–4.662.08–5.392.98–10.05safer0.36–5.211.59–5.881.95–11.09
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.239.45safe3.01–7.442.23–6.235.24–13.67safer2.44–8.011.70–6.764.13–14.77
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.3252.44safe40.53–54.1145.66–59.23safer38.86–55.7843.99–60.90
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction378399778safe311–446333–466644–911safer293–464315–483608–947
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction61.5269.19safe57.49–65.5564.87–73.52safer56.19–66.8463.56–74.83
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9116.5132.42safe13.07–18.7513.56–19.4526.64–38.20safer12.31–19.5012.82–20.2025.13–39.70
Offsides
64%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.881.624.50safe1.72–4.040.53–2.722.25–6.75safer1.42–4.340.24–3.001.66–7.34
Yellow cards
34%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.674.96safe1.25–3.341.54–3.802.78–7.14safer0.98–3.611.25–4.092.23–7.70
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.905.83safe1.50–4.371.34–4.462.84–8.83safer1.11–4.760.92–4.882.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.41 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 37% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.95 8.02–15.87 6.93–16.96 | 13.45 9.89–17.02 8.93–17.97 | 25.40 17.91–32.89 15.86–34.94 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.10–10.99 4.27–11.82 | 7.89 5.21–10.57 4.47–11.31 | 15.93 10.31–21.56 8.74–23.12 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 2.78 0.90–4.66 0.36–5.21 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.52 2.98–10.05 1.95–11.09 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.76 | 9.45 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.77 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 47.32 40.53–54.11 38.86–55.78 | 52.44 45.66–59.23 43.99–60.90 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 378 311–446 293–464 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 778 644–911 608–947 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.52 57.49–65.55 56.19–66.84 | 69.19 64.87–73.52 63.56–74.83 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 15.91 13.07–18.75 12.31–19.50 | 16.51 13.56–19.45 12.82–20.20 | 32.42 26.64–38.20 25.13–39.70 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.34 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 4.50 2.25–6.75 1.66–7.34 | 64% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 2.67 1.54–3.80 1.25–4.09 | 4.96 2.78–7.14 2.23–7.70 | 34% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.90 1.34–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 5.83 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.