Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
27%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.452.43safe0.02–1.950.59–2.300.61–4.25safer0.00–2.200.36–2.530.13–4.73
Shots on target
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.567.78safe1.36–5.092.82–6.304.18–11.39safer0.87–5.582.35–6.773.22–12.34
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4013.3024.70safe7.48–15.339.73–16.8617.21–32.19safer6.39–16.428.78–17.8215.16–34.24
Shots in box
25%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction6.108.0914.18safe3.15–9.045.41–10.778.56–19.81safer2.32–9.874.67–11.516.99–21.37
Blocked shots
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.286.07safe0.91–4.671.62–4.932.53–9.60safer0.36–5.221.13–5.421.50–10.64
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.205.189.38safe1.98–6.413.18–7.185.16–13.59safer1.41–6.982.65–7.714.06–14.70
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction46.0754.87safe39.28–52.8648.08–61.65safer37.61–54.5346.41–63.32
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction368427795safe301–435360–493661–929safer283–453343–511626–964
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction63.3671.59safe59.33–67.3967.27–75.91safer58.03–68.6865.96–77.22
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8415.8131.65safe13.00–18.6812.87–18.7625.87–37.43safer12.25–19.4312.12–19.5124.36–38.94
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.323.17safe0.70–3.020.22–2.410.92–5.43safer0.40–3.320.00–2.700.33–6.02
Yellow cards
43%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.344.82safe1.43–3.531.22–3.472.64–7.00safer1.16–3.790.92–3.762.09–7.56
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
51%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.445.47safe1.60–4.470.88–3.992.48–8.46safer1.21–4.860.45–4.421.67–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.43 0.61–4.25 0.13–4.73 | 26% 27% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.22 1.36–5.09 0.87–5.58 | 4.56 2.82–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 7.78 4.18–11.39 3.22–12.34 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.40 7.48–15.33 6.39–16.42 | 13.30 9.73–16.86 8.78–17.82 | 24.70 17.21–32.19 15.16–34.24 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.10 3.15–9.04 2.32–9.87 | 8.09 5.41–10.77 4.67–11.51 | 14.18 8.56–19.81 6.99–21.37 | 25% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 2.79 0.91–4.67 0.36–5.22 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.07 2.53–9.60 1.50–10.64 | 34% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 4.20 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.98 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.71 | 9.38 5.16–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 46.07 39.28–52.86 37.61–54.53 | 54.87 48.08–61.65 46.41–63.32 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 795 661–929 626–964 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.36 59.33–67.39 58.03–68.68 | 71.59 67.27–75.91 65.96–77.22 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 15.84 13.00–18.68 12.25–19.43 | 15.81 12.87–18.76 12.12–19.51 | 31.65 25.87–37.43 24.36–38.94 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.48 1.43–3.53 1.16–3.79 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.82 2.64–7.00 2.09–7.56 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.42 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.67–9.27 | 51% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.