Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.480.902.38safe0.51–2.440.05–1.750.55–4.20safer0.26–2.690.00–1.980.07–4.68
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.458.17safe2.85–6.581.71–5.194.56–11.77safer2.36–7.071.24–5.663.60–12.73
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0511.4825.53safe10.13–17.987.91–15.0418.04–33.01safer9.04–19.076.95–16.0015.99–35.06
Shots in box
69%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction8.636.1914.82safe5.69–11.583.50–8.879.20–20.44safer4.86–12.412.77–9.607.63–22.01
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.996.50safe1.63–5.391.33–4.642.96–10.03safer1.09–5.940.84–5.131.93–11.07
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.193.798.98safe2.98–7.411.79–5.794.77–13.19safer2.41–7.981.25–6.323.66–14.30
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction52.4146.32safe45.62–59.2039.54–53.11safer43.95–60.8737.87–54.78
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction489396885safe422–556330–463752–1019safer404–574312–480716–1055
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction68.3569.60safe64.32–72.3865.27–73.92safer63.03–73.6763.97–75.23
Fouls
33%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7515.7129.47safe10.92–16.5912.77–18.6623.68–35.25safer10.16–17.3512.02–19.4122.18–36.75
Offsides
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.804.11safe1.16–3.480.70–2.891.86–6.37safer0.86–3.780.41–3.181.27–6.95
Yellow cards
32%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.664.84safe1.13–3.231.53–3.792.66–7.02safer0.86–3.491.24–4.082.11–7.58
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.185.56safe0.94–3.811.62–4.742.57–8.55safer0.55–4.201.20–5.161.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.69 | 0.90 0.05–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.38 0.55–4.20 0.07–4.68 | 51% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.71 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.17 4.56–11.77 3.60–12.73 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.13–17.98 9.04–19.07 | 11.48 7.91–15.04 6.95–16.00 | 25.53 18.04–33.01 15.99–35.06 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.69–11.58 4.86–12.41 | 6.19 3.50–8.87 2.77–9.60 | 14.82 9.20–20.44 7.63–22.01 | 69% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.09–5.94 | 2.99 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.93–11.07 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.25–6.32 | 8.98 4.77–13.19 3.66–14.30 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.41 45.62–59.20 43.95–60.87 | 46.32 39.54–53.11 37.87–54.78 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 489 422–556 404–574 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.35 64.32–72.38 63.03–73.67 | 69.60 65.27–73.92 63.97–75.23 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 13.75 10.92–16.59 10.16–17.35 | 15.71 12.77–18.66 12.02–19.41 | 29.47 23.68–35.25 22.18–36.75 | 33% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.18 | 4.11 1.86–6.37 1.27–6.95 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 2.66 1.53–3.79 1.24–4.08 | 4.84 2.66–7.02 2.11–7.58 | 32% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.