Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.462.62safe0.19–2.130.60–2.310.80–4.44safer0.00–2.380.38–2.540.32–4.92
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.088.40safe2.47–6.192.33–5.824.80–12.01safer1.98–6.681.87–6.283.84–12.96
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9111.1225.02safe9.98–17.837.55–14.6817.54–32.51safer8.89–18.926.59–15.6415.49–34.56
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.268.1116.38safe5.32–11.205.43–10.8010.75–22.00safer4.49–12.034.70–11.539.19–23.57
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.816.43safe1.74–5.501.16–4.462.90–9.97safer1.20–6.050.66–4.961.86–11.00
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.339.48safe2.94–7.362.33–6.335.27–13.70safer2.36–7.941.80–6.864.16–14.80
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6752.33safe40.88–54.4645.55–59.12safer39.21–56.1343.87–60.79
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction383410793safe316–451343–476659–927safer298–469326–494624–962
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction72.0075.04safe67.97–76.0370.72–79.36safer66.68–77.3369.41–80.67
Fouls
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1112.9529.06safe13.28–18.9510.00–15.8923.28–34.84safer12.52–19.719.25–16.6421.77–36.35
Offsides
22%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.614.20safe0.43–2.751.51–3.701.95–6.45safer0.13–3.051.23–3.991.36–7.04
Yellow cards
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.745.57safe1.78–3.871.61–3.873.39–7.75safer1.51–4.141.32–4.162.83–8.30
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.130.28safe0.00–0.310.00–0.320.00–0.63safer0.00–0.460.00–0.450.00–0.91
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.035.67safe1.21–4.081.47–4.582.68–8.66safer0.82–4.471.05–5.011.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.19 1.98–6.68 | 4.08 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 8.40 4.80–12.01 3.84–12.96 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.98–17.83 8.89–18.92 | 11.12 7.55–14.68 6.59–15.64 | 25.02 17.54–32.51 15.49–34.56 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.32–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 8.11 5.43–10.80 4.70–11.53 | 16.38 10.75–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.20–6.05 | 2.81 1.16–4.46 0.66–4.96 | 6.43 2.90–9.97 1.86–11.00 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.36 2.36–7.94 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.86 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 47.67 40.88–54.46 39.21–56.13 | 52.33 45.55–59.12 43.87–60.79 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 383 316–451 298–469 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 793 659–927 624–962 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.00 67.97–76.03 66.68–77.33 | 75.04 70.72–79.36 69.41–80.67 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 16.11 13.28–18.95 12.52–19.71 | 12.95 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 29.06 23.28–34.84 21.77–36.35 | 69% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 2.61 1.51–3.70 1.23–3.99 | 4.20 1.95–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 22% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.83 1.78–3.87 1.51–4.14 | 2.74 1.61–3.87 1.32–4.16 | 5.57 3.39–7.75 2.83–8.30 | 43% 17% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.05–5.01 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.48 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.