Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.942.87safe0.96–2.900.08–1.791.04–4.69safer0.71–3.150.00–2.020.56–5.17
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.259.52safe4.40–8.131.51–5.005.91–13.12safer3.91–8.621.05–5.464.96–14.08
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.429.9427.36safe13.50–21.346.38–13.5119.88–34.85safer12.40–22.445.42–14.4717.83–36.90
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.956.1417.09safe8.01–13.903.46–8.8211.47–22.72safer7.18–14.722.72–9.569.90–24.28
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.536.85safe2.43–6.200.88–4.183.31–10.38safer1.89–6.740.38–4.682.28–11.42
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.513.409.91safe4.30–8.721.40–5.405.70–14.13safer3.72–9.300.87–5.944.59–15.23
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.5438.46safe55.75–69.3331.67–45.24safer54.08–71.0030.00–46.91
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction525308833safe458–592242–375700–967safer440–611224–392664–1003
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction74.9666.60safe70.93–78.9962.27–70.92safer69.64–80.2960.96–72.23
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3615.8632.21safe13.52–19.1912.91–18.8026.43–37.99safer12.76–19.9512.16–19.5524.92–39.50
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.313.24safe0.76–3.090.22–2.410.99–5.49safer0.46–3.390.00–2.700.40–6.08
Yellow cards
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.965.14safe1.13–3.231.83–4.092.96–7.31safer0.86–3.491.54–4.382.40–7.87
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.936.26safe0.89–3.772.37–5.483.26–9.25safer0.51–4.151.95–5.912.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.90 0.71–3.15 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 61% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.26 4.40–8.13 3.91–8.62 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.42 13.50–21.34 12.40–22.44 | 9.94 6.38–13.51 5.42–14.47 | 27.36 19.88–34.85 17.83–36.90 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.18–14.72 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.72–9.56 | 17.09 11.47–22.72 9.90–24.28 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.53 0.88–4.18 0.38–4.68 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.51 4.30–8.72 3.72–9.30 | 3.40 1.40–5.40 0.87–5.94 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 80% |
| Possession % | 62.54 55.75–69.33 54.08–71.00 | 38.46 31.67–45.24 30.00–46.91 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 525 458–592 440–611 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.96 70.93–78.99 69.64–80.29 | 66.60 62.27–70.92 60.96–72.23 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 16.36 13.52–19.19 12.76–19.95 | 15.86 12.91–18.80 12.16–19.55 | 32.21 26.43–37.99 24.92–39.50 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.76–3.09 0.46–3.39 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 2.96 1.83–4.09 1.54–4.38 | 5.14 2.96–7.31 2.40–7.87 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 3.93 2.37–5.48 1.95–5.91 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.