Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
29%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.192.19safe0.03–1.960.34–2.050.37–4.01safer0.00–2.220.11–2.280.00–4.49
Shots on target
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.007.54safe1.69–5.412.25–5.743.94–11.15safer1.20–5.901.79–6.202.98–12.10
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4111.8422.25safe6.49–14.348.28–15.4014.77–29.74safer5.40–15.437.32–16.3612.72–31.79
Shots in box
39%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction6.827.3214.15safe3.88–9.774.64–10.018.53–19.77safer3.05–10.603.91–10.746.96–21.34
Blocked shots
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.855.53safe0.80–4.561.20–4.502.00–9.07safer0.26–5.110.70–5.000.96–10.10
Corners
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.299.18safe2.67–7.102.29–6.294.96–13.39safer2.09–7.671.76–6.833.85–14.50
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction47.1853.82safe40.39–53.9747.03–60.60safer38.72–55.6445.36–62.27
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction382419801safe315–450353–486668–935safer297–468335–503632–971
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction66.5570.58safe62.52–70.5866.25–74.90safer61.23–71.8764.94–76.21
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6816.6133.29safe13.84–19.5213.66–19.5527.51–39.07safer13.09–20.2712.92–20.3026.00–40.58
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.913.55safe0.48–2.800.82–3.001.30–5.81safer0.18–3.110.53–3.290.71–6.40
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.525.05safe1.48–3.581.39–3.652.87–7.23safer1.22–3.851.10–3.942.32–7.79
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.445.10safe1.23–4.100.88–3.992.11–8.09safer0.84–4.490.46–4.421.30–8.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.19 0.37–4.01 0.00–4.49 | 31% 29% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.69–5.41 1.20–5.90 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 7.54 3.94–11.15 2.98–12.10 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Total shots | 10.41 6.49–14.34 5.40–15.43 | 11.84 8.28–15.40 7.32–16.36 | 22.25 14.77–29.74 12.72–31.79 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 6.82 3.88–9.77 3.05–10.60 | 7.32 4.64–10.01 3.91–10.74 | 14.15 8.53–19.77 6.96–21.34 | 39% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.26–5.11 | 2.85 1.20–4.50 0.70–5.00 | 5.53 2.00–9.07 0.96–10.10 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.10 2.09–7.67 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 9.18 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.50 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Possession % | 47.18 40.39–53.97 38.72–55.64 | 53.82 47.03–60.60 45.36–62.27 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 382 315–450 297–468 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 801 668–935 632–971 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.55 62.52–70.58 61.23–71.87 | 70.58 66.25–74.90 64.94–76.21 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 16.68 13.84–19.52 13.09–20.27 | 16.61 13.66–19.55 12.92–20.30 | 33.29 27.51–39.07 26.00–40.58 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.91 0.82–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.53 1.48–3.58 1.22–3.85 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 5.05 2.87–7.23 2.32–7.79 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 5.10 2.11–8.09 1.30–8.91 | 45% 18% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.