Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.972.99safe1.05–2.990.12–1.831.17–4.81safer0.80–3.240.00–2.050.69–5.29
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.352.888.23safe3.49–7.221.13–4.624.63–11.84safer3.00–7.710.67–5.083.67–12.79
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.109.2824.38safe11.18–19.035.72–12.8416.89–31.87safer10.08–20.124.76–13.8014.84–33.92
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.565.9016.47safe7.62–13.513.22–8.5810.84–22.09safer6.79–14.342.49–9.329.28–23.66
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.752.746.49safe1.87–5.631.09–4.392.96–10.03safer1.33–6.180.60–4.891.92–11.06
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.229.29safe3.85–8.281.22–5.225.07–13.50safer3.28–8.850.69–5.753.97–14.61
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.2941.16safe51.50–65.0834.37–47.94safer49.83–66.7532.70–49.61
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction472320792safe405–539254–387659–926safer387–557236–404623–962
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction71.9966.49safe67.96–76.0262.16–70.81safer66.67–77.3160.86–72.12
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4315.8632.29safe13.60–19.2712.91–18.8026.51–38.07safer12.84–20.0312.16–19.5525.00–39.58
Offsides
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.911.184.09safe1.75–4.070.09–2.281.84–6.35safer1.45–4.370.00–2.571.25–6.93
Yellow cards
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.975.22safe1.20–3.301.84–4.103.04–7.39safer0.93–3.561.55–4.392.48–7.95
Red cards
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.190.29safe0.00–0.260.00–0.370.00–0.64safer0.00–0.410.00–0.510.00–0.92
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.325.52safe0.77–3.641.76–4.872.53–8.51safer0.38–4.031.34–5.301.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 2.88 1.13–4.62 0.67–5.08 | 8.23 4.63–11.84 3.67–12.79 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.08–20.12 | 9.28 5.72–12.84 4.76–13.80 | 24.38 16.89–31.87 14.84–33.92 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.56 7.62–13.51 6.79–14.34 | 5.90 3.22–8.58 2.49–9.32 | 16.47 10.84–22.09 9.28–23.66 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.63 1.33–6.18 | 2.74 1.09–4.39 0.60–4.89 | 6.49 2.96–10.03 1.92–11.06 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.69–5.75 | 9.29 5.07–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 58.29 51.50–65.08 49.83–66.75 | 41.16 34.37–47.94 32.70–49.61 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–557 | 320 254–387 236–404 | 792 659–926 623–962 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.99 67.96–76.02 66.67–77.31 | 66.49 62.16–70.81 60.86–72.12 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 16.43 13.60–19.27 12.84–20.03 | 15.86 12.91–18.80 12.16–19.55 | 32.29 26.51–38.07 25.00–39.58 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.91 1.75–4.07 1.45–4.37 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.93 | 73% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.56 | 2.97 1.84–4.10 1.55–4.39 | 5.22 3.04–7.39 2.48–7.95 | 29% 17% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.51 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.34–5.30 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.72–9.33 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.