Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.672.59safe0.00–1.880.82–2.530.76–4.41safer0.00–2.130.59–2.760.28–4.89
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.244.858.09safe1.38–5.103.10–6.594.48–11.69safer0.89–5.592.64–7.063.53–12.65
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2113.9124.11safe6.28–14.1310.34–17.4716.62–31.60safer5.19–15.229.38–18.4314.57–33.65
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.479.5316.00safe3.53–9.416.85–12.2110.37–21.62safer2.70–10.246.11–12.958.81–23.19
Blocked shots
28%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.024.027.04safe1.14–4.902.37–5.683.51–10.58safer0.59–5.451.88–6.172.47–11.61
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.419.43safe1.81–6.243.41–7.415.22–13.64safer1.24–6.812.88–7.944.11–14.75
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.4258.22safe35.63–49.2151.44–65.01safer33.96–50.8849.77–66.68
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction354477831safe287–421410–543697–964safer269–439393–561661–1000
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction61.4974.63safe57.46–65.5270.31–78.96safer56.17–66.8269.00–80.27
Fouls
22%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1016.9030.00safe10.27–15.9413.95–19.8424.22–35.78safer9.51–16.7013.20–20.5922.71–37.29
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.674.16safe1.32–3.640.58–2.771.90–6.41safer1.02–3.950.29–3.051.31–7.00
Yellow cards
44%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.615.38safe1.71–3.811.48–3.743.20–7.56safer1.45–4.081.19–4.032.64–8.11
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.345.66safe1.88–4.750.79–3.902.67–8.65safer1.49–5.140.36–4.321.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 1.67 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 20% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.24 1.38–5.10 0.89–5.59 | 4.85 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 8.09 4.48–11.69 3.53–12.65 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.21 6.28–14.13 5.19–15.22 | 13.91 10.34–17.47 9.38–18.43 | 24.11 16.62–31.60 14.57–33.65 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 6.47 3.53–9.41 2.70–10.24 | 9.53 6.85–12.21 6.11–12.95 | 16.00 10.37–21.62 8.81–23.19 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.90 0.59–5.45 | 4.02 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.61 | 28% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.24 1.24–6.81 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.88–7.94 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 42.42 35.63–49.21 33.96–50.88 | 58.22 51.44–65.01 49.77–66.68 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 354 287–421 269–439 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.49 57.46–65.52 56.17–66.82 | 74.63 70.31–78.96 69.00–80.27 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.27–15.94 9.51–16.70 | 16.90 13.95–19.84 13.20–20.59 | 30.00 24.22–35.78 22.71–37.29 | 22% 73% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.02–3.95 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.76 1.71–3.81 1.45–4.08 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 5.38 3.20–7.56 2.64–8.11 | 44% 18% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.34 0.79–3.90 0.36–4.32 | 5.66 2.67–8.65 1.86–9.47 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+