Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.162.34safe0.21–2.150.31–2.010.52–4.16safer0.00–2.400.08–2.240.04–4.64
Shots on target
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.647.49safe1.98–5.701.90–5.393.88–11.09safer1.49–6.191.43–5.852.92–12.05
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4210.7624.18safe9.50–17.357.20–14.3216.69–31.67safer8.41–18.446.24–15.2814.64–33.72
Shots in box
49%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction7.487.0414.52safe4.53–10.424.36–9.728.89–20.14safer3.71–11.253.62–10.467.33–21.71
Blocked shots
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.825.88safe1.18–4.941.17–4.472.35–9.42safer0.63–5.490.68–4.971.31–10.45
Corners
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.454.699.14safe2.24–6.662.69–6.694.92–13.35safer1.66–7.242.15–7.223.82–14.46
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6252.43safe40.83–54.4145.64–59.21safer39.16–56.0843.97–60.88
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction386411797safe319–454344–477664–931safer301–472327–495628–967
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction64.1270.59safe60.09–68.1566.27–74.91safer58.80–69.4464.96–76.22
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7316.3732.10safe12.89–18.5613.43–19.3226.31–37.88safer12.13–19.3212.68–20.0624.81–39.38
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.273.36safe0.94–3.260.17–2.361.11–5.62safer0.63–3.560.00–2.650.52–6.21
Yellow cards
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.412.605.00safe1.36–3.461.47–3.722.82–7.18safer1.09–3.721.18–4.022.27–7.74
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
40%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.655.26safe1.18–4.051.09–4.212.27–8.26safer0.79–4.440.67–4.631.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.16 0.31–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.70 1.49–6.19 | 3.64 1.90–5.39 1.43–5.85 | 7.49 3.88–11.09 2.92–12.05 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 10.76 7.20–14.32 6.24–15.28 | 24.18 16.69–31.67 14.64–33.72 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.53–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.62–10.46 | 14.52 8.89–20.14 7.33–21.71 | 49% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.63–5.49 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.68–4.97 | 5.88 2.35–9.42 1.31–10.45 | 45% 17% 38% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.24–6.66 1.66–7.24 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.15–7.22 | 9.14 4.92–13.35 3.82–14.46 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.62 40.83–54.41 39.16–56.08 | 52.43 45.64–59.21 43.97–60.88 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 386 319–454 301–472 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 797 664–931 628–967 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.12 60.09–68.15 58.80–69.44 | 70.59 66.27–74.91 64.96–76.22 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 15.73 12.89–18.56 12.13–19.32 | 16.37 13.43–19.32 12.68–20.06 | 32.10 26.31–37.88 24.81–39.38 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.63–3.56 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.41 1.36–3.46 1.09–3.72 | 2.60 1.47–3.72 1.18–4.02 | 5.00 2.82–7.18 2.27–7.74 | 38% 18% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.65 1.09–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.26 2.27–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 40% 18% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.