Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.152.50safe0.38–2.320.30–2.000.68–4.32safer0.13–2.570.07–2.230.20–4.80
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.568.88safe3.46–7.191.81–5.305.27–12.48safer2.97–7.681.35–5.764.32–13.44
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.839.5025.32safe11.90–19.755.93–13.0617.83–32.81safer10.81–20.844.97–14.0215.78–34.86
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.536.2415.77safe6.58–12.473.56–8.9210.14–21.39safer5.76–13.302.82–9.668.58–22.96
Blocked shots
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.346.35safe2.12–5.890.69–3.992.81–9.88safer1.58–6.430.20–4.491.78–10.92
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.979.17safe2.99–7.421.97–5.974.96–13.39safer2.42–7.991.43–6.503.85–14.49
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.0451.16safe42.25–55.8344.38–57.95safer40.58–57.5042.71–59.62
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction415430845safe348–482363–496711–979safer330–500346–514675–1014
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction63.6669.09safe59.63–67.6964.77–73.42safer58.34–68.9863.46–74.73
Fouls
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8113.5831.39safe14.98–20.6510.63–16.5225.61–37.17safer14.22–21.419.88–17.2724.10–38.68
Offsides
28%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.864.98safe0.95–3.271.77–3.962.72–7.23safer0.65–3.581.48–4.242.13–7.82
Yellow cards
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.615.44safe1.78–3.881.48–3.743.26–7.62safer1.52–4.151.19–4.032.71–8.18
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
21%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.736.04safe0.88–3.752.17–5.293.05–9.03safer0.49–4.141.75–5.712.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.15 0.30–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.19 2.97–7.68 | 3.56 1.81–5.30 1.35–5.76 | 8.88 5.27–12.48 4.32–13.44 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.83 11.90–19.75 10.81–20.84 | 9.50 5.93–13.06 4.97–14.02 | 25.32 17.83–32.81 15.78–34.86 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.53 6.58–12.47 5.76–13.30 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.82–9.66 | 15.77 10.14–21.39 8.58–22.96 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 2.34 0.69–3.99 0.20–4.49 | 6.35 2.81–9.88 1.78–10.92 | 68% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 3.97 1.97–5.97 1.43–6.50 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 49.04 42.25–55.83 40.58–57.50 | 51.16 44.38–57.95 42.71–59.62 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 415 348–482 330–500 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 845 711–979 675–1014 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.66 59.63–67.69 58.34–68.98 | 69.09 64.77–73.42 63.46–74.73 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 17.81 14.98–20.65 14.22–21.41 | 13.58 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.27 | 31.39 25.61–37.17 24.10–38.68 | 75% 20% |
| Offsides | 2.11 0.95–3.27 0.65–3.58 | 2.86 1.77–3.96 1.48–4.24 | 4.98 2.72–7.23 2.13–7.82 | 28% 17% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.83 1.78–3.88 1.52–4.15 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 5.44 3.26–7.62 2.71–8.18 | 45% 17% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.73 2.17–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 21% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.