Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.722.92safe0.23–2.160.87–2.581.09–4.74safer0.00–2.410.64–2.800.61–5.22
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.015.039.03safe2.15–5.873.28–6.775.43–12.64safer1.66–6.362.82–7.234.47–13.59
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7613.4326.19safe8.84–16.699.87–16.9918.71–33.68safer7.75–17.788.91–17.9516.66–35.73
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.459.0516.50safe4.51–10.396.37–11.7310.88–22.13safer3.68–11.225.63–12.479.31–23.69
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.917.39safe1.59–5.362.26–5.563.85–10.92safer1.05–5.901.77–6.062.82–11.96
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.505.149.64safe2.29–6.713.14–7.145.43–13.86safer1.71–7.292.61–7.674.32–14.96
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.6855.92safe37.89–51.4749.13–62.70safer36.22–53.1447.46–64.38
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction363450812safe295–430383–516679–946safer277–448366–534643–982
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.4175.20safe61.38–69.4470.88–79.52safer60.09–70.7369.57–80.83
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3515.7431.09safe12.51–18.1912.80–18.6925.31–36.87safer11.76–18.9412.05–19.4323.81–38.38
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.473.14safe0.51–2.830.38–2.570.89–5.40safer0.21–3.130.09–2.850.30–5.99
Yellow cards
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.695.11safe1.37–3.471.56–3.822.93–7.29safer1.10–3.731.27–4.112.37–7.85
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.150.28safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.470.00–0.91
GK saves
48%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.725.83safe1.67–4.541.17–4.282.84–8.82safer1.28–4.930.74–4.712.03–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.80 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.87 1.66–6.36 | 5.03 3.28–6.77 2.82–7.23 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.76 8.84–16.69 7.75–17.78 | 13.43 9.87–16.99 8.91–17.95 | 26.19 18.71–33.68 16.66–35.73 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.45 4.51–10.39 3.68–11.22 | 9.05 6.37–11.73 5.63–12.47 | 16.50 10.88–22.13 9.31–23.69 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 3.91 2.26–5.56 1.77–6.06 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.29–6.71 1.71–7.29 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.67 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 44.68 37.89–51.47 36.22–53.14 | 55.92 49.13–62.70 47.46–64.38 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 812 679–946 643–982 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.41 61.38–69.44 60.09–70.73 | 75.20 70.88–79.52 69.57–80.83 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 15.35 12.51–18.19 11.76–18.94 | 15.74 12.80–18.69 12.05–19.43 | 31.09 25.31–36.87 23.81–38.38 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.85 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.37–3.47 1.10–3.73 | 2.69 1.56–3.82 1.27–4.11 | 5.11 2.93–7.29 2.37–7.85 | 36% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.71 | 5.83 2.84–8.82 2.03–9.63 | 48% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+