Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.772.72safe0.00–1.920.91–2.620.90–4.55safer0.00–2.180.69–2.850.42–5.03
Shots on target
30%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.768.49safe1.87–5.603.02–6.504.89–12.10safer1.38–6.092.55–6.973.93–13.05
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6013.7225.32safe7.68–15.5310.16–17.2817.83–32.81safer6.59–16.629.20–18.2415.78–34.86
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.859.8316.68safe3.91–9.807.15–12.5111.06–22.30safer3.08–10.626.41–13.259.49–23.87
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.566.72safe1.28–5.041.91–5.223.19–10.26safer0.73–5.581.42–5.712.15–11.29
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.209.43safe2.02–6.453.20–7.205.22–13.65safer1.44–7.022.67–7.734.11–14.75
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.1362.06safe31.34–44.9255.27–68.84safer29.67–46.5953.60–70.51
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction299476775safe232–366409–542641–909safer214–385392–560606–944
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction65.6778.94safe61.64–69.7074.62–83.27safer60.35–70.9973.31–84.58
Fouls
63%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction17.9615.5833.54safe15.12–20.7912.64–18.5327.76–39.32safer14.36–21.5511.89–19.2826.26–40.83
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.943.44safe0.34–2.660.85–3.031.19–5.69safer0.04–2.960.56–3.320.60–6.28
Yellow cards
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.625.62safe1.95–4.051.49–3.753.45–7.80safer1.69–4.321.20–4.042.89–8.36
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.150.31safe0.00–0.320.00–0.340.00–0.66safer0.00–0.470.00–0.470.00–0.94
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.775.99safe1.79–4.661.21–4.333.00–8.99safer1.40–5.050.79–4.752.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.18 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.69–2.85 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 20% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.87–5.60 1.38–6.09 | 4.76 3.02–6.50 2.55–6.97 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 30% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.68–15.53 6.59–16.62 | 13.72 10.16–17.28 9.20–18.24 | 25.32 17.83–32.81 15.78–34.86 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 6.85 3.91–9.80 3.08–10.62 | 9.83 7.15–12.51 6.41–13.25 | 16.68 11.06–22.30 9.49–23.87 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 3.56 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.02–6.45 1.44–7.02 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.73 | 9.43 5.22–13.65 4.11–14.75 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 38.13 31.34–44.92 29.67–46.59 | 62.06 55.27–68.84 53.60–70.51 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 299 232–366 214–385 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 775 641–909 606–944 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.67 61.64–69.70 60.35–70.99 | 78.94 74.62–83.27 73.31–84.58 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 17.96 15.12–20.79 14.36–21.55 | 15.58 12.64–18.53 11.89–19.28 | 33.54 27.76–39.32 26.26–40.83 | 63% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 3.00 1.95–4.05 1.69–4.32 | 2.62 1.49–3.75 1.20–4.04 | 5.62 3.45–7.80 2.89–8.36 | 48% 17% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.77 1.21–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.