Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.440.673.11safe1.48–3.410.00–1.521.29–4.93safer1.22–3.660.00–1.750.81–5.41
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.852.759.60safe4.99–8.711.01–4.506.00–13.21safer4.50–9.200.55–4.965.04–14.17
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.818.2527.06safe14.88–22.734.68–11.8119.57–34.54safer13.79–23.823.73–12.7717.52–36.59
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.275.0718.35safe10.33–16.222.39–7.7612.73–23.97safer9.50–17.051.66–8.4911.16–25.54
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.741.996.73safe2.86–6.630.33–3.643.20–10.27safer2.32–7.170.00–4.132.16–11.30
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.002.939.93safe4.79–9.210.93–4.935.72–14.14safer4.21–9.790.40–5.464.61–15.25
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.1036.68safe57.31–70.8929.90–43.47safer55.64–72.5628.23–45.14
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction537301837safe469–604234–367704–971safer451–622217–385668–1007
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.8467.91safe74.81–82.8763.59–72.24safer73.52–84.1662.28–73.54
Fouls
36%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8616.4231.28safe12.02–17.6913.48–19.3725.49–37.06safer11.26–18.4512.73–20.1123.99–38.56
Offsides
57%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.223.26safe0.89–3.210.12–2.311.01–5.52safer0.59–3.510.00–2.600.42–6.11
Yellow cards
23%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.903.034.93safe0.85–2.951.90–4.162.76–7.11safer0.59–3.221.61–4.452.20–7.67
Red cards
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.190.27safe0.00–0.240.00–0.380.00–0.62safer0.00–0.390.00–0.510.00–0.90
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.096.16safe0.63–3.502.53–5.653.17–9.15safer0.24–3.892.11–6.072.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.44 1.48–3.41 1.22–3.66 | 0.67 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.85 4.99–8.71 4.50–9.20 | 2.75 1.01–4.50 0.55–4.96 | 9.60 6.00–13.21 5.04–14.17 | 88% |
| Total shots | 18.81 14.88–22.73 13.79–23.82 | 8.25 4.68–11.81 3.73–12.77 | 27.06 19.57–34.54 17.52–36.59 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.27 10.33–16.22 9.50–17.05 | 5.07 2.39–7.76 1.66–8.49 | 18.35 12.73–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 1.99 0.33–3.64 0.00–4.13 | 6.73 3.20–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.00 4.79–9.21 4.21–9.79 | 2.93 0.93–4.93 0.40–5.46 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 88% |
| Possession % | 64.10 57.31–70.89 55.64–72.56 | 36.68 29.90–43.47 28.23–45.14 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 537 469–604 451–622 | 301 234–367 217–385 | 837 704–971 668–1007 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.84 74.81–82.87 73.52–84.16 | 67.91 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.54 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 14.86 12.02–17.69 11.26–18.45 | 16.42 13.48–19.37 12.73–20.11 | 31.28 25.49–37.06 23.99–38.56 | 36% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.22 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 57% 21% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 3.03 1.90–4.16 1.61–4.45 | 4.93 2.76–7.11 2.20–7.67 | 23% 16% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 16% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 4.09 2.53–5.65 2.11–6.07 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.