Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.102.31safe0.25–2.180.24–1.950.49–4.14safer0.00–2.440.01–2.180.01–4.61
Shots on target
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.073.617.68safe2.20–5.931.87–5.354.07–11.28safer1.72–6.421.40–5.823.12–12.24
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3711.2923.66safe8.44–16.297.73–14.8616.17–31.15safer7.35–17.386.77–15.8214.12–33.20
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction7.506.9014.40safe4.55–10.444.22–9.588.78–20.02safer3.73–11.273.48–10.327.21–21.59
Blocked shots
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.585.60safe1.13–4.900.93–4.242.06–9.14safer0.59–5.440.44–4.731.03–10.17
Corners
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.018.91safe2.69–7.112.01–6.014.70–13.13safer2.11–7.691.48–6.543.59–14.23
Possession %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction53.6447.70safe46.85–60.4340.91–54.48safer45.18–62.1039.24–56.16
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction420363782safe352–487296–429649–916safer334–505279–447613–952
Pass accuracy %
46%
48%
homeawayprediction68.6468.83safe64.61–72.6764.51–73.15safer63.32–73.9663.20–74.46
Fouls
53%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4716.5834.05safe14.64–20.3113.63–19.5228.27–39.83safer13.88–21.0712.89–20.2726.77–41.34
Offsides
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.164.75safe1.42–3.741.07–3.262.49–7.00safer1.12–4.050.78–3.551.90–7.59
Yellow cards
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.985.58safe1.56–3.651.85–4.113.40–7.76safer1.29–3.921.56–4.402.85–8.32
Red cards
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.180.31safe0.00–0.290.00–0.370.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.500.00–0.94
GK saves
37%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.825.38safe1.12–4.001.26–4.372.39–8.37safer0.74–4.380.84–4.801.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.44 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.31 0.49–4.14 0.01–4.61 | 39% 28% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.20–5.93 1.72–6.42 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 7.68 4.07–11.28 3.12–12.24 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.44–16.29 7.35–17.38 | 11.29 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 23.66 16.17–31.15 14.12–33.20 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 7.50 4.55–10.44 3.73–11.27 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.48–10.32 | 14.40 8.78–20.02 7.21–21.59 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.13–4.90 0.59–5.44 | 2.58 0.93–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 5.60 2.06–9.14 1.03–10.17 | 49% 17% 34% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.69–7.11 2.11–7.69 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.54 | 8.91 4.70–13.13 3.59–14.23 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.64 46.85–60.43 45.18–62.10 | 47.70 40.91–54.48 39.24–56.16 | — | 61% 34% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 363 296–429 279–447 | 782 649–916 613–952 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.64 64.61–72.67 63.32–73.96 | 68.83 64.51–73.15 63.20–74.46 | — | 46% 48% |
| Fouls | 17.47 14.64–20.31 13.88–21.07 | 16.58 13.63–19.52 12.89–20.27 | 34.05 28.27–39.83 26.77–41.34 | 53% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.58 1.42–3.74 1.12–4.05 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.55 | 4.75 2.49–7.00 1.90–7.59 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.61 1.56–3.65 1.29–3.92 | 2.98 1.85–4.11 1.56–4.40 | 5.58 3.40–7.76 2.85–8.32 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–4.00 0.74–4.38 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 37% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.