Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.192.59safe0.43–2.370.33–2.040.76–4.41safer0.18–2.620.10–2.270.28–4.89
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.973.608.57safe3.11–6.831.86–5.354.97–12.18safer2.62–7.321.40–5.814.01–13.13
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0310.6324.66safe10.10–17.957.07–14.1917.17–32.14safer9.01–19.046.11–15.1515.12–34.19
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.987.0516.03safe6.04–11.924.37–9.7310.40–21.65safer5.21–12.753.63–10.478.84–23.22
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.036.59safe1.68–5.441.37–4.683.05–10.12safer1.14–5.990.88–5.172.02–11.16
Corners
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.119.37safe3.05–7.472.11–6.115.15–13.58safer2.47–8.051.57–6.644.05–14.69
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.7153.14safe39.92–53.5046.36–59.93safer38.25–55.1744.69–61.60
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction423460883safe355–490394–527749–1016safer337–508376–544713–1052
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction68.7072.60safe64.67–72.7368.27–76.92safer63.38–74.0266.96–78.23
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8913.5729.45safe13.05–18.7310.62–16.5123.67–35.24safer12.30–19.489.87–17.2622.17–36.74
Offsides
47%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.814.00safe1.03–3.350.72–2.901.75–6.25safer0.73–3.650.43–3.191.16–6.84
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.364.71safe1.30–3.401.23–3.492.54–6.89safer1.04–3.670.94–3.781.98–7.45
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.546.10safe1.12–3.991.98–5.103.11–9.09safer0.73–4.381.56–5.522.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.11–6.83 2.62–7.32 | 3.60 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.81 | 8.57 4.97–12.18 4.01–13.13 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 10.63 7.07–14.19 6.11–15.15 | 24.66 17.17–32.14 15.12–34.19 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.98 6.04–11.92 5.21–12.75 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.63–10.47 | 16.03 10.40–21.65 8.84–23.22 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.14–5.99 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.57–6.64 | 9.37 5.15–13.58 4.05–14.69 | 58% 29% |
| Possession % | 46.71 39.92–53.50 38.25–55.17 | 53.14 46.36–59.93 44.69–61.60 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 423 355–490 337–508 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.70 64.67–72.73 63.38–74.02 | 72.60 68.27–76.92 66.96–78.23 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 15.89 13.05–18.73 12.30–19.48 | 13.57 10.62–16.51 9.87–17.26 | 29.45 23.67–35.24 22.17–36.74 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 4.00 1.75–6.25 1.16–6.84 | 47% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.04–3.67 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.71 2.54–6.89 1.98–7.45 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.