Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.600.703.29safe1.63–3.560.00–1.551.47–5.11safer1.38–3.820.00–1.780.99–5.59
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.952.439.38safe5.09–8.810.69–4.175.78–12.99safer4.60–9.300.22–4.644.82–13.94
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.288.2728.55safe16.36–24.214.71–11.8321.06–36.04safer15.26–25.303.75–12.7919.01–38.09
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.524.7918.31safe10.58–16.462.10–7.4712.68–23.93safer9.75–17.291.37–8.2011.12–25.50
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.422.097.51safe3.53–7.300.44–3.753.97–11.04safer2.99–7.840.00–4.242.94–12.08
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.322.7410.07safe5.11–9.540.74–4.745.85–14.28safer4.54–10.110.21–5.284.75–15.39
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.4133.04safe60.62–74.2026.25–39.82safer58.95–75.8724.58–41.49
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction574273847safe506–641206–339713–980safer488–659189–357677–1016
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction79.8065.30safe75.77–83.8360.97–69.62safer74.48–85.1259.66–70.93
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7915.5629.35safe10.95–16.6312.61–18.5023.57–35.13safer10.20–17.3911.86–19.2522.06–36.63
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.362.99safe0.47–2.790.26–2.450.73–5.24safer0.17–3.090.00–2.740.15–5.83
Yellow cards
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.984.67safe0.63–2.731.85–4.112.49–6.84safer0.37–3.001.56–4.401.93–7.40
Red cards
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.190.27safe0.00–0.240.00–0.370.00–0.61safer0.00–0.390.00–0.510.00–0.90
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.984.626.60safe0.54–3.423.06–6.173.60–9.59safer0.16–3.802.64–6.602.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.60 1.63–3.56 1.38–3.82 | 0.70 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 3.29 1.47–5.11 0.99–5.59 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.95 5.09–8.81 4.60–9.30 | 2.43 0.69–4.17 0.22–4.64 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 91% |
| Total shots | 20.28 16.36–24.21 15.26–25.30 | 8.27 4.71–11.83 3.75–12.79 | 28.55 21.06–36.04 19.01–38.09 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.52 10.58–16.46 9.75–17.29 | 4.79 2.10–7.47 1.37–8.20 | 18.31 12.68–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.53–7.30 2.99–7.84 | 2.09 0.44–3.75 0.00–4.24 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.32 5.11–9.54 4.54–10.11 | 2.74 0.74–4.74 0.21–5.28 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 91% |
| Possession % | 67.41 60.62–74.20 58.95–75.87 | 33.04 26.25–39.82 24.58–41.49 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 574 506–641 488–659 | 273 206–339 189–357 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.80 75.77–83.83 74.48–85.12 | 65.30 60.97–69.62 59.66–70.93 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.79 10.95–16.63 10.20–17.39 | 15.56 12.61–18.50 11.86–19.25 | 29.35 23.57–35.13 22.06–36.63 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 2.99 0.73–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.98 1.85–4.11 1.56–4.40 | 4.67 2.49–6.84 1.93–7.40 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.51 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% 16% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.54–3.42 0.16–3.80 | 4.62 3.06–6.17 2.64–6.60 | 6.60 3.60–9.59 2.79–10.40 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.