Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.460.912.37safe0.49–2.430.06–1.770.55–4.19safer0.24–2.680.00–2.000.07–4.67
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.127.79safe2.82–6.541.37–4.864.19–11.40safer2.33–7.030.91–5.323.23–12.35
Total shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction14.579.5624.14safe10.65–18.506.00–13.1316.65–31.62safer9.56–19.595.04–14.0914.60–33.67
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.236.5015.74safe6.29–12.173.82–9.1910.11–21.36safer5.46–13.003.09–9.928.55–22.93
Blocked shots
65%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.566.63safe2.19–5.960.90–4.213.10–10.17safer1.65–6.500.41–4.702.06–11.20
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.859.21safe3.14–7.571.85–5.854.99–13.42safer2.56–8.141.32–6.393.89–14.53
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.5045.40safe47.71–61.2938.61–52.18safer46.04–62.9636.94–53.86
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction450368819safe383–518302–435685–952safer365–536284–452649–988
Pass accuracy %
47%
47%
homeawayprediction68.2068.19safe64.17–72.2363.86–72.51safer62.88–73.5262.55–73.82
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0017.2333.23safe13.17–18.8414.28–20.1727.45–39.01safer12.41–19.6013.53–20.9225.94–40.52
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.563.59safe0.87–3.190.47–2.661.34–5.85safer0.57–3.490.18–2.940.75–6.44
Yellow cards
30%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.905.15safe1.20–3.301.77–4.032.97–7.32safer0.93–3.561.48–4.322.41–7.88
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.113.005.12safe0.68–3.551.45–4.562.13–8.11safer0.29–3.941.02–4.991.31–8.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.37 0.55–4.19 0.07–4.67 | 50% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 3.12 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 7.79 4.19–11.40 3.23–12.35 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.57 10.65–18.50 9.56–19.59 | 9.56 6.00–13.13 5.04–14.09 | 24.14 16.65–31.62 14.60–33.67 | 82% |
| Shots in box | 9.23 6.29–12.17 5.46–13.00 | 6.50 3.82–9.19 3.09–9.92 | 15.74 10.11–21.36 8.55–22.93 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.63 3.10–10.17 2.06–11.20 | 65% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.56–8.14 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.39 | 9.21 4.99–13.42 3.89–14.53 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.50 47.71–61.29 46.04–62.96 | 45.40 38.61–52.18 36.94–53.86 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 450 383–518 365–536 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 819 685–952 649–988 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.20 64.17–72.23 62.88–73.52 | 68.19 63.86–72.51 62.55–73.82 | — | 47% 47% |
| Fouls | 16.00 13.17–18.84 12.41–19.60 | 17.23 14.28–20.17 13.53–20.92 | 33.23 27.45–39.01 25.94–40.52 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.94 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.56 | 2.90 1.77–4.03 1.48–4.32 | 5.15 2.97–7.32 2.41–7.88 | 30% 17% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.11 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.99 | 5.12 2.13–8.11 1.31–8.92 | 27% 17% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+