Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.112.45safe0.37–2.310.26–1.960.63–4.27safer0.12–2.560.03–2.190.15–4.75
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.678.57safe3.03–6.761.93–5.414.96–12.17safer2.54–7.251.46–5.884.01–13.13
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.679.4225.09safe11.75–19.605.85–12.9817.60–32.58safer10.66–20.694.89–13.9415.55–34.63
Shots in box
70%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.156.5415.69safe6.21–12.093.86–9.2210.07–21.32safer5.38–12.923.12–9.968.50–22.88
Blocked shots
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.021.895.91safe2.14–5.910.24–3.542.38–9.45safer1.60–6.450.00–4.041.34–10.49
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.139.47safe3.13–7.552.13–6.135.25–13.68safer2.55–8.131.59–6.664.15–14.79
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction57.0844.29safe50.29–63.8737.50–51.07safer48.62–65.5435.83–52.75
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction442339781safe374–509273–406647–915safer356–527255–423611–950
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction64.5663.92safe60.53–68.5959.59–68.24safer59.24–69.8858.29–69.55
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6215.4331.05safe12.78–18.4512.49–18.3825.27–36.83safer12.02–19.2111.74–19.1323.76–38.34
Offsides
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.874.54safe0.51–2.831.77–3.962.29–6.79safer0.21–3.141.49–4.251.70–7.38
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.575.32safe1.71–3.801.44–3.703.15–7.50safer1.44–4.071.15–3.992.59–8.06
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.565.91safe0.92–3.792.00–5.112.92–8.91safer0.53–4.181.58–5.542.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.45 0.63–4.27 0.15–4.75 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.03–6.76 2.54–7.25 | 3.67 1.93–5.41 1.46–5.88 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.67 11.75–19.60 10.66–20.69 | 9.42 5.85–12.98 4.89–13.94 | 25.09 17.60–32.58 15.55–34.63 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 15.69 10.07–21.32 8.50–22.88 | 70% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 1.89 0.24–3.54 0.00–4.04 | 5.91 2.38–9.45 1.34–10.49 | 75% 13% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.59–6.66 | 9.47 5.25–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.08 50.29–63.87 48.62–65.54 | 44.29 37.50–51.07 35.83–52.75 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 442 374–509 356–527 | 339 273–406 255–423 | 781 647–915 611–950 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.56 60.53–68.59 59.24–69.88 | 63.92 59.59–68.24 58.29–69.55 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 15.62 12.78–18.45 12.02–19.21 | 15.43 12.49–18.38 11.74–19.13 | 31.05 25.27–36.83 23.76–38.34 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 2.87 1.77–3.96 1.49–4.25 | 4.54 2.29–6.79 1.70–7.38 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 2.75 1.71–3.80 1.44–4.07 | 2.57 1.44–3.70 1.15–3.99 | 5.32 3.15–7.50 2.59–8.06 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.56 2.00–5.11 1.58–5.54 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.