Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.972.063.03safe0.00–1.941.21–2.911.21–4.85safer0.00–2.190.98–3.140.73–5.33
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.336.009.33safe1.47–5.194.26–7.745.72–12.93safer0.98–5.683.79–8.214.77–13.89
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6317.1027.73safe6.70–14.5513.54–20.6620.24–35.21safer5.61–15.6412.58–21.6218.19–37.27
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7310.9216.65safe2.78–8.678.24–13.6111.03–22.27safer1.95–9.507.51–14.349.46–23.84
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.764.337.09safe0.87–4.642.68–5.993.55–10.63safer0.33–5.182.19–6.482.52–11.66
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.615.799.40safe1.40–5.823.79–7.795.19–13.62safer0.82–6.403.26–8.324.08–14.72
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.4558.45safe35.66–49.2451.67–65.24safer33.99–50.9150.00–66.91
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction387510897safe319–454443–576763–1030safer301–472426–594727–1066
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.3277.36safe59.29–67.3573.04–81.69safer58.00–68.6471.73–83.00
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1115.5728.69safe10.28–15.9512.63–18.5222.90–34.47safer9.52–16.7111.88–19.2721.40–35.97
Offsides
27%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.203.77safe0.40–2.721.11–3.301.51–6.02safer0.10–3.020.82–3.580.92–6.61
Yellow cards
40%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.434.81safe1.33–3.431.30–3.562.64–6.99safer1.07–3.701.01–3.852.08–7.55
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.752.276.02safe2.31–5.180.71–3.823.02–9.01safer1.92–5.570.29–4.252.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.06 1.21–2.91 0.98–3.14 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 17% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.33 1.47–5.19 0.98–5.68 | 6.00 4.26–7.74 3.79–8.21 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.63 6.70–14.55 5.61–15.64 | 17.10 13.54–20.66 12.58–21.62 | 27.73 20.24–35.21 18.19–37.27 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.73 2.78–8.67 1.95–9.50 | 10.92 8.24–13.61 7.51–14.34 | 16.65 11.03–22.27 9.46–23.84 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.76 0.87–4.64 0.33–5.18 | 4.33 2.68–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 7.09 3.55–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 3.61 1.40–5.82 0.82–6.40 | 5.79 3.79–7.79 3.26–8.32 | 9.40 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.72 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 42.45 35.66–49.24 33.99–50.91 | 58.45 51.67–65.24 50.00–66.91 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 387 319–454 301–472 | 510 443–576 426–594 | 897 763–1030 727–1066 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.32 59.29–67.35 58.00–68.64 | 77.36 73.04–81.69 71.73–83.00 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.11 10.28–15.95 9.52–16.71 | 15.57 12.63–18.52 11.88–19.27 | 28.69 22.90–34.47 21.40–35.97 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.20 1.11–3.30 0.82–3.58 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.38 1.33–3.43 1.07–3.70 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.81 2.64–6.99 2.08–7.55 | 40% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.75 2.31–5.18 1.92–5.57 | 2.27 0.71–3.82 0.29–4.25 | 6.02 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

