Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.792.92safe1.16–3.100.00–1.651.10–4.75safer0.91–3.350.00–1.880.62–5.23
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.482.839.31safe4.62–8.341.09–4.575.71–12.92safer4.13–8.830.62–5.044.75–13.87
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.568.9927.54safe14.63–22.485.42–12.5520.05–35.03safer13.54–23.574.46–13.5118.00–37.08
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.965.1817.14safe9.02–14.902.50–7.8611.52–22.76safer8.19–15.731.76–8.609.95–24.33
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.216.78safe2.69–6.450.56–3.873.25–10.32safer2.14–7.000.07–4.362.21–11.36
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.922.919.82safe4.70–9.130.91–4.915.61–14.04safer4.13–9.700.37–5.444.50–15.14
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2037.76safe56.41–69.9930.98–44.55safer54.74–71.6629.31–46.22
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction538314852safe471–605247–380718–985safer453–623230–398682–1021
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction75.0666.46safe71.03–79.0962.14–70.79safer69.74–80.3860.83–72.10
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1815.2332.41safe14.34–20.0112.29–18.1826.63–38.19safer13.58–20.7711.54–18.9325.12–39.70
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.303.35safe0.89–3.210.21–2.401.10–5.60safer0.58–3.510.00–2.680.51–6.19
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.754.79safe0.98–3.081.62–3.882.61–6.97safer0.72–3.351.33–4.172.05–7.52
Red cards
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.336.34safe0.58–3.452.78–5.893.35–9.34safer0.19–3.842.35–6.312.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.79 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 68% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.48 4.62–8.34 4.13–8.83 | 2.83 1.09–4.57 0.62–5.04 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.56 14.63–22.48 13.54–23.57 | 8.99 5.42–12.55 4.46–13.51 | 27.54 20.05–35.03 18.00–37.08 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.02–14.90 8.19–15.73 | 5.18 2.50–7.86 1.76–8.60 | 17.14 11.52–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.14–7.00 | 2.21 0.56–3.87 0.07–4.36 | 6.78 3.25–10.32 2.21–11.36 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.70–9.13 4.13–9.70 | 2.91 0.91–4.91 0.37–5.44 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 87% |
| Possession % | 63.20 56.41–69.99 54.74–71.66 | 37.76 30.98–44.55 29.31–46.22 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 538 471–605 453–623 | 314 247–380 230–398 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.06 71.03–79.09 69.74–80.38 | 66.46 62.14–70.79 60.83–72.10 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 17.18 14.34–20.01 13.58–20.77 | 15.23 12.29–18.18 11.54–18.93 | 32.41 26.63–38.19 25.12–39.70 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.58–3.51 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.68 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.75 1.62–3.88 1.33–4.17 | 4.79 2.61–6.97 2.05–7.52 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 4.33 2.78–5.89 2.35–6.31 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.