Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.502.64safe0.18–2.110.65–2.360.82–4.47safer0.00–2.360.42–2.580.34–4.95
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.038.26safe2.37–6.102.29–5.774.66–11.87safer1.88–6.591.82–6.243.70–12.83
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6811.4224.10safe8.76–16.617.85–14.9816.61–31.59safer7.67–17.706.89–15.9414.56–33.64
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.527.5015.02safe4.58–10.474.82–10.189.40–20.64safer3.75–11.304.08–10.927.83–22.21
Blocked shots
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.866.05safe1.31–5.081.20–4.512.52–9.59safer0.77–5.620.71–5.001.48–10.62
Corners
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.628.79safe1.95–6.382.62–6.624.57–13.00safer1.38–6.962.08–7.153.47–14.11
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.4456.41safe37.65–51.2349.63–63.20safer35.98–52.9047.96–64.87
Passes
18%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction363470833safe296–430404–536699–967safer277–448386–554663–1002
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction65.4173.50safe61.38–69.4469.18–77.83safer60.09–70.7367.87–79.14
Fouls
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4115.0231.43safe13.57–19.2412.08–17.9725.65–37.21safer12.81–20.0011.33–18.7224.14–38.72
Offsides
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.804.55safe0.59–2.911.71–3.902.30–6.80safer0.29–3.211.42–4.191.71–7.39
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.455.08safe1.58–3.681.32–3.582.91–7.26safer1.32–3.951.03–3.872.35–7.82
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.25safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.88
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.965.43safe1.03–3.901.41–4.522.44–8.42safer0.64–4.290.98–4.941.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.50 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.58 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.10 1.88–6.59 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 8.26 4.66–11.87 3.70–12.83 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.76–16.61 7.67–17.70 | 11.42 7.85–14.98 6.89–15.94 | 24.10 16.61–31.59 14.56–33.64 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 7.52 4.58–10.47 3.75–11.30 | 7.50 4.82–10.18 4.08–10.92 | 15.02 9.40–20.64 7.83–22.21 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 2.86 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.05 2.52–9.59 1.48–10.62 | 47% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.17 1.95–6.38 1.38–6.96 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.08–7.15 | 8.79 4.57–13.00 3.47–14.11 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.44 37.65–51.23 35.98–52.90 | 56.41 49.63–63.20 47.96–64.87 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 277–448 | 470 404–536 386–554 | 833 699–967 663–1002 | 18% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.41 61.38–69.44 60.09–70.73 | 73.50 69.18–77.83 67.87–79.14 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 16.41 13.57–19.24 12.81–20.00 | 15.02 12.08–17.97 11.33–18.72 | 31.43 25.65–37.21 24.14–38.72 | 56% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 2.80 1.71–3.90 1.42–4.19 | 4.55 2.30–6.80 1.71–7.39 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 2.63 1.58–3.68 1.32–3.95 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 5.08 2.91–7.26 2.35–7.82 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.62–9.23 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+