Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.430.972.40safe0.46–2.400.12–1.830.58–4.23safer0.21–2.650.00–2.050.10–4.70
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.267.89safe2.77–6.491.52–5.014.29–11.50safer2.28–6.981.06–5.473.33–12.45
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6010.6524.25safe9.67–17.527.09–14.2216.77–31.74safer8.58–18.626.13–15.1814.72–33.79
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.176.3615.53safe6.23–12.113.68–9.049.91–21.16safer5.40–12.942.94–9.788.34–22.72
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.156.58safe1.55–5.321.50–4.803.05–10.12safer1.01–5.861.01–5.302.01–11.16
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.313.829.13safe3.09–7.521.82–5.824.91–13.34safer2.52–8.091.29–6.353.81–14.45
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.2451.99safe40.45–54.0345.21–58.78safer38.78–55.7043.54–60.45
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction387411798safe319–454345–478664–932safer301–472327–495629–967
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction63.9168.78safe59.88–67.9464.45–73.10safer58.59–69.2363.14–74.41
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0214.8430.85safe13.18–18.8511.89–17.7825.07–36.64safer12.42–19.6111.15–18.5323.57–38.14
Offsides
63%
18%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.591.424.01safe1.43–3.750.33–2.521.76–6.26safer1.13–4.050.04–2.801.17–6.85
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.454.70safe1.21–3.301.32–3.582.53–6.88safer0.94–3.571.03–3.871.97–7.44
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.235.55safe0.88–3.761.68–4.792.56–8.55safer0.50–4.141.25–5.211.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 2.40 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.70 | 48% 27% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.77–6.49 2.28–6.98 | 3.26 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 7.89 4.29–11.50 3.33–12.45 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 13.60 9.67–17.52 8.58–18.62 | 10.65 7.09–14.22 6.13–15.18 | 24.25 16.77–31.74 14.72–33.79 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.11 5.40–12.94 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.94–9.78 | 15.53 9.91–21.16 8.34–22.72 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.16 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.35 | 9.13 4.91–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 47.24 40.45–54.03 38.78–55.70 | 51.99 45.21–58.78 43.54–60.45 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 387 319–454 301–472 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 798 664–932 629–967 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.91 59.88–67.94 58.59–69.23 | 68.78 64.45–73.10 63.14–74.41 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 16.02 13.18–18.85 12.42–19.61 | 14.84 11.89–17.78 11.15–18.53 | 30.85 25.07–36.64 23.57–38.14 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.59 1.43–3.75 1.13–4.05 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 63% 18% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.70 2.53–6.88 1.97–7.44 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.55 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.