Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.922.53safe0.65–2.580.06–1.770.71–4.35safer0.40–2.830.00–2.000.23–4.83
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.208.50safe3.44–7.161.46–4.944.89–12.10safer2.95–7.650.99–5.413.94–13.06
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8210.2225.04safe10.90–18.756.66–13.7817.56–32.53safer9.81–19.845.70–14.7415.51–34.58
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.425.9915.41safe6.48–12.373.31–8.679.79–21.04safer5.65–13.202.57–9.418.22–22.60
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.706.61safe2.03–5.791.05–4.363.08–10.15safer1.48–6.340.56–4.852.04–11.18
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.569.44safe3.66–8.091.56–5.565.23–13.65safer3.09–8.661.03–6.104.12–14.76
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.5045.06safe47.71–61.2938.27–51.84safer46.04–62.9636.60–53.52
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction460355815safe392–527288–421681–948safer374–545271–439645–984
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction71.0266.95safe66.99–75.0562.63–71.28safer65.70–76.3461.32–72.59
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8315.3831.21safe12.99–18.6712.44–18.3325.43–36.99safer12.24–19.4211.69–19.0723.92–38.50
Offsides
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.853.40safe0.39–2.710.76–2.951.14–5.65safer0.08–3.010.47–3.230.55–6.24
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.584.58safe0.95–3.051.45–3.712.40–6.76safer0.69–3.321.16–4.001.85–7.32
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.646.01safe0.94–3.812.08–5.193.02–9.00safer0.55–4.201.65–5.622.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.58 0.40–2.83 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 54% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 8.50 4.89–12.10 3.94–13.06 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.90–18.75 9.81–19.84 | 10.22 6.66–13.78 5.70–14.74 | 25.04 17.56–32.53 15.51–34.58 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.20 | 5.99 3.31–8.67 2.57–9.41 | 15.41 9.79–21.04 8.22–22.60 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.34 | 2.70 1.05–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 6.61 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 3.56 1.56–5.56 1.03–6.10 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.50 47.71–61.29 46.04–62.96 | 45.06 38.27–51.84 36.60–53.52 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 460 392–527 374–545 | 355 288–421 271–439 | 815 681–948 645–984 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.02 66.99–75.05 65.70–76.34 | 66.95 62.63–71.28 61.32–72.59 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 15.83 12.99–18.67 12.24–19.42 | 15.38 12.44–18.33 11.69–19.07 | 31.21 25.43–36.99 23.92–38.50 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.85 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.23 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.85–7.32 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.64 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.62 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.