Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.300.773.06safe1.33–3.260.00–1.621.24–4.88safer1.08–3.510.00–1.850.76–5.36
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.219.27safe4.19–7.921.47–4.955.66–12.87safer3.70–8.411.00–5.424.71–13.83
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0210.5927.61safe13.09–20.947.03–14.1520.12–35.09safer12.00–22.046.07–15.1118.07–37.15
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.406.0517.45safe8.46–14.343.37–8.7411.83–23.08safer7.63–15.172.64–9.4710.26–24.64
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.952.656.60safe2.07–5.831.00–4.303.07–10.14safer1.53–6.380.51–4.802.03–11.17
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.229.78safe4.35–8.781.22–5.225.57–13.99safer3.78–9.350.68–5.754.46–15.10
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2039.50safe54.41–67.9932.71–46.28safer52.74–69.6631.04–47.95
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction507312819safe439–574246–379685–953safer421–592228–396650–988
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction76.7567.81safe72.73–80.7863.48–72.13safer71.43–82.0862.17–73.44
Fouls
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2817.5331.81safe11.44–17.1214.58–20.4726.03–37.59safer10.69–17.8713.84–21.2224.52–39.10
Offsides
72%
14%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.151.414.57safe1.99–4.310.32–2.512.31–6.82safer1.69–4.620.03–2.791.73–7.41
Yellow cards
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.215.37safe1.11–3.212.08–4.333.19–7.54safer0.85–3.481.79–4.632.63–8.10
Red cards
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.210.30safe0.00–0.250.02–0.390.00–0.64safer0.00–0.400.00–0.530.00–0.93
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.836.22safe0.96–3.832.27–5.393.23–9.21safer0.57–4.221.85–5.812.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 1.33–3.26 1.08–3.51 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.06 4.19–7.92 3.70–8.41 | 3.21 1.47–4.95 1.00–5.42 | 9.27 5.66–12.87 4.71–13.83 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.09–20.94 12.00–22.04 | 10.59 7.03–14.15 6.07–15.11 | 27.61 20.12–35.09 18.07–37.15 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.40 8.46–14.34 7.63–15.17 | 6.05 3.37–8.74 2.64–9.47 | 17.45 11.83–23.08 10.26–24.64 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.95 2.07–5.83 1.53–6.38 | 2.65 1.00–4.30 0.51–4.80 | 6.60 3.07–10.14 2.03–11.17 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.35–8.78 3.78–9.35 | 3.22 1.22–5.22 0.68–5.75 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.20 54.41–67.99 52.74–69.66 | 39.50 32.71–46.28 31.04–47.95 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 507 439–574 421–592 | 312 246–379 228–396 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.75 72.73–80.78 71.43–82.08 | 67.81 63.48–72.13 62.17–73.44 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 14.28 11.44–17.12 10.69–17.87 | 17.53 14.58–20.47 13.84–21.22 | 31.81 26.03–37.59 24.52–39.10 | 25% 69% |
| Offsides | 3.15 1.99–4.31 1.69–4.62 | 1.41 0.32–2.51 0.03–2.79 | 4.57 2.31–6.82 1.73–7.41 | 72% 14% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 3.21 2.08–4.33 1.79–4.63 | 5.37 3.19–7.54 2.63–8.10 | 25% 16% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.02–0.39 0.00–0.53 | 0.30 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.93 | 76% 17% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.83 2.27–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.