Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.652.79safe0.17–2.110.80–2.500.97–4.62safer0.00–2.360.57–2.730.49–5.09
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.005.029.02safe2.14–5.863.28–6.765.41–12.62safer1.65–6.352.81–7.234.46–13.58
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7214.3627.08safe8.80–16.6510.80–17.9219.59–34.57safer7.70–17.749.84–18.8817.54–36.62
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.439.4616.89safe4.49–10.386.78–12.1411.27–22.51safer3.66–11.206.04–12.889.70–24.08
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.837.41safe1.70–5.462.18–5.483.88–10.95safer1.15–6.001.69–5.982.84–11.98
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.109.58safe2.27–6.703.10–7.105.37–13.79safer1.70–7.272.56–7.634.26–14.90
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.8760.49safe33.08–46.6653.71–67.28safer31.41–48.3352.04–68.95
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction324486810safe257–391420–553676–944safer238–409402–570641–979
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8076.65safe59.78–67.8372.32–80.97safer58.48–69.1371.02–82.28
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0116.3832.39safe13.18–18.8513.44–19.3226.61–38.18safer12.42–19.6112.69–20.0725.11–39.68
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.853.42safe0.41–2.730.76–2.941.17–5.68safer0.11–3.040.47–3.230.58–6.27
Yellow cards
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.725.34safe1.57–3.671.59–3.853.16–7.51safer1.30–3.931.30–4.142.60–8.07
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.150.29safe0.00–0.300.00–0.340.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.470.00–0.92
GK saves
51%
17%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.595.75safe1.73–4.601.03–4.152.76–8.75safer1.34–4.990.61–4.571.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.65 0.80–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.09 | 26% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.72 8.80–16.65 7.70–17.74 | 14.36 10.80–17.92 9.84–18.88 | 27.08 19.59–34.57 17.54–36.62 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.43 4.49–10.38 3.66–11.20 | 9.46 6.78–12.14 6.04–12.88 | 16.89 11.27–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 3.83 2.18–5.48 1.69–5.98 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.27–6.70 1.70–7.27 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.56–7.63 | 9.58 5.37–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 39.87 33.08–46.66 31.41–48.33 | 60.49 53.71–67.28 52.04–68.95 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 238–409 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 810 676–944 641–979 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.80 59.78–67.83 58.48–69.13 | 76.65 72.32–80.97 71.02–82.28 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 16.01 13.18–18.85 12.42–19.61 | 16.38 13.44–19.32 12.69–20.07 | 32.39 26.61–38.18 25.11–39.68 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.04 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.62 1.57–3.67 1.30–3.93 | 2.72 1.59–3.85 1.30–4.14 | 5.34 3.16–7.51 2.60–8.07 | 39% 18% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.29 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.92 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.59 1.03–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 5.75 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 51% 17% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+