Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
27%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.372.45safe0.11–2.050.51–2.220.62–4.27safer0.00–2.300.29–2.450.14–4.75
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.138.27safe2.28–6.012.39–5.874.67–11.88safer1.79–6.491.92–6.343.71–12.83
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4312.1924.62safe8.51–16.368.63–15.7517.14–32.11safer7.42–17.457.67–16.7115.09–34.16
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.187.9115.09safe4.24–10.125.23–10.599.47–20.71safer3.41–10.954.49–11.337.90–22.28
Blocked shots
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.966.20safe1.36–5.131.30–4.612.67–9.74safer0.82–5.670.81–5.101.63–10.77
Corners
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.094.598.69safe1.88–6.312.59–6.594.47–12.90safer1.31–6.882.06–7.123.37–14.01
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.5455.64safe38.74–52.3348.85–62.42safer37.08–54.0047.18–64.09
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction382477859safe315–450410–543726–993safer297–468393–561690–1029
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction65.2373.73safe61.20–69.2669.40–78.05safer59.91–70.5668.10–79.36
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4614.1230.58safe13.63–19.3011.17–17.0624.80–36.36safer12.87–20.0610.42–17.8123.29–37.87
Offsides
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.664.49safe0.67–3.001.56–3.752.24–6.74safer0.37–3.301.27–4.041.65–7.33
Yellow cards
39%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.454.78safe1.28–3.381.32–3.582.60–6.96safer1.02–3.651.03–3.872.04–7.51
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.732.865.59safe1.29–4.161.31–4.422.60–8.58safer0.90–4.550.88–4.841.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.29–2.45 | 2.45 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 30% 27% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.49 | 4.13 2.39–5.87 1.92–6.34 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.43 8.51–16.36 7.42–17.45 | 12.19 8.63–15.75 7.67–16.71 | 24.62 17.14–32.11 15.09–34.16 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.18 4.24–10.12 3.41–10.95 | 7.91 5.23–10.59 4.49–11.33 | 15.09 9.47–20.71 7.90–22.28 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.24 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 2.96 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 6.20 2.67–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 46% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 4.09 1.88–6.31 1.31–6.88 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.12 | 8.69 4.47–12.90 3.37–14.01 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Possession % | 45.54 38.74–52.33 37.08–54.00 | 55.64 48.85–62.42 47.18–64.09 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 382 315–450 297–468 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.23 61.20–69.26 59.91–70.56 | 73.73 69.40–78.05 68.10–79.36 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 16.46 13.63–19.30 12.87–20.06 | 14.12 11.17–17.06 10.42–17.81 | 30.58 24.80–36.36 23.29–37.87 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.67–3.00 0.37–3.30 | 2.66 1.56–3.75 1.27–4.04 | 4.49 2.24–6.74 1.65–7.33 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.78 2.60–6.96 2.04–7.51 | 39% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.