Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.822.74safe0.95–2.890.00–1.680.92–4.57safer0.70–3.140.00–1.910.44–5.05
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.802.688.48safe3.93–7.660.94–4.434.87–12.08safer3.44–8.150.48–4.893.92–13.04
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.108.0726.17safe14.17–22.024.51–11.6318.68–33.65safer13.08–23.113.55–12.5916.63–35.70
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.115.7716.88safe8.17–14.063.09–8.4511.26–22.51safer7.34–14.882.35–9.199.69–24.07
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.871.846.71safe2.99–6.750.19–3.503.18–10.25safer2.44–7.290.00–3.992.14–11.28
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.943.2810.22safe4.72–9.151.28–5.286.00–14.43safer4.15–9.720.75–5.814.90–15.54
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.8536.79safe56.06–69.6430.01–43.58safer54.39–71.3128.34–45.25
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction524298822safe457–591231–364688–955safer439–609214–382652–991
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction74.3164.37safe70.28–78.3460.05–68.70safer68.99–79.6358.74–70.00
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.0426.09safe10.21–15.8910.09–15.9820.31–31.87safer9.46–16.649.35–16.7318.80–33.37
Offsides
26%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.414.07safe0.50–2.821.32–3.501.82–6.33safer0.20–3.121.03–3.791.23–6.92
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.364.22safe0.82–2.921.23–3.482.05–6.40safer0.55–3.180.94–3.781.49–6.96
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.933.865.79safe0.49–3.372.30–5.422.80–8.78safer0.11–3.751.88–5.841.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 63% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.93–7.66 3.44–8.15 | 2.68 0.94–4.43 0.48–4.89 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.10 14.17–22.02 13.08–23.11 | 8.07 4.51–11.63 3.55–12.59 | 26.17 18.68–33.65 16.63–35.70 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.34–14.88 | 5.77 3.09–8.45 2.35–9.19 | 16.88 11.26–22.51 9.69–24.07 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.99–6.75 2.44–7.29 | 1.84 0.19–3.50 0.00–3.99 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 84% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.72–9.15 4.15–9.72 | 3.28 1.28–5.28 0.75–5.81 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 84% |
| Possession % | 62.85 56.06–69.64 54.39–71.31 | 36.79 30.01–43.58 28.34–45.25 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 439–609 | 298 231–364 214–382 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.31 70.28–78.34 68.99–79.63 | 64.37 60.05–68.70 58.74–70.00 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.89 9.46–16.64 | 13.04 10.09–15.98 9.35–16.73 | 26.09 20.31–31.87 18.80–33.37 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.07 1.82–6.33 1.23–6.92 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 2.36 1.23–3.48 0.94–3.78 | 4.22 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.93 0.49–3.37 0.11–3.75 | 3.86 2.30–5.42 1.88–5.84 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 15% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.