Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
27%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.372.31safe0.00–1.910.52–2.230.49–4.13safer0.00–2.160.29–2.460.01–4.61
Shots on target
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.054.187.22safe1.18–4.912.44–5.923.62–10.83safer0.69–5.401.97–6.392.66–11.78
Total shots
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8012.8322.63safe5.88–13.739.26–16.3915.14–30.12safer4.79–14.828.30–17.3513.09–32.17
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction5.727.9613.69safe2.78–8.675.28–10.648.07–19.31safer1.95–9.504.55–11.386.50–20.88
Blocked shots
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.015.47safe0.58–4.341.36–4.661.93–9.01safer0.03–4.880.87–5.160.90–10.04
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.159.54safe2.17–6.603.15–7.155.32–13.75safer1.60–7.172.62–7.694.22–14.86
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction47.0753.98safe40.28–53.8647.20–60.77safer38.61–55.5345.53–62.44
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction393439832safe326–461372–505698–966safer308–479355–523663–1001
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction66.9570.89safe62.92–70.9766.56–75.21safer61.62–72.2765.25–76.52
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2915.1030.39safe12.46–18.1312.16–18.0524.61–36.18safer11.70–18.8911.41–18.7923.11–37.68
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.113.74safe0.47–2.791.01–3.201.48–5.99safer0.17–3.090.73–3.490.89–6.58
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.304.58safe1.23–3.331.17–3.432.40–6.76safer0.97–3.600.88–3.721.85–7.32
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.120.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
49%
18%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.315.08safe1.33–4.200.76–3.872.09–8.07safer0.94–4.590.33–4.291.27–8.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.31 0.49–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 26% 27% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.05 1.18–4.91 0.69–5.40 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 7.22 3.62–10.83 2.66–11.78 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Total shots | 9.80 5.88–13.73 4.79–14.82 | 12.83 9.26–16.39 8.30–17.35 | 22.63 15.14–30.12 13.09–32.17 | 23% 70% |
| Shots in box | 5.72 2.78–8.67 1.95–9.50 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.55–11.38 | 13.69 8.07–19.31 6.50–20.88 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.46 0.58–4.34 0.03–4.88 | 3.01 1.36–4.66 0.87–5.16 | 5.47 1.93–9.01 0.90–10.04 | 32% 17% 51% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.17 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.69 | 9.54 5.32–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 47.07 40.28–53.86 38.61–55.53 | 53.98 47.20–60.77 45.53–62.44 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 393 326–461 308–479 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 832 698–966 663–1001 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.95 62.92–70.97 61.62–72.27 | 70.89 66.56–75.21 65.25–76.52 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 15.29 12.46–18.13 11.70–18.89 | 15.10 12.16–18.05 11.41–18.79 | 30.39 24.61–36.18 23.11–37.68 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.11 1.01–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.97–3.60 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.85–7.32 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 2.31 0.76–3.87 0.33–4.29 | 5.08 2.09–8.07 1.27–8.88 | 49% 18% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.