Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.480.982.46safe0.52–2.450.12–1.830.64–4.28safer0.26–2.700.00–2.060.16–4.76
Shots on target
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.377.85safe2.61–6.331.63–5.124.24–11.45safer2.12–6.821.17–5.583.29–12.41
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9010.8323.73safe8.98–16.837.27–14.3916.24–31.22safer7.89–17.926.31–15.3514.19–33.27
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.707.1515.85safe5.76–11.644.47–9.8310.23–21.47safer4.93–12.473.73–10.578.66–23.04
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.826.11safe1.41–5.171.17–4.472.58–9.65safer0.86–5.720.68–4.971.54–10.68
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.889.35safe3.25–7.681.88–5.885.13–13.56safer2.68–8.251.35–6.424.03–14.67
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.5048.89safe44.71–58.2942.11–55.68safer43.04–59.9640.43–57.35
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction425392818safe358–493326–459684–952safer340–511308–476649–987
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction66.0368.87safe62.00–70.0564.55–73.19safer60.70–71.3563.24–74.50
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5214.5330.05safe12.69–18.3611.58–17.4724.27–35.83safer11.93–19.1210.83–18.2222.76–37.34
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.493.67safe1.02–3.340.40–2.591.42–5.93safer0.72–3.640.11–2.880.83–6.51
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.324.21safe0.84–2.941.19–3.452.03–6.38safer0.57–3.200.90–3.741.47–6.94
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
31%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.885.17safe0.86–3.731.32–4.432.18–8.16safer0.47–4.120.90–4.861.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.52–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.46 0.64–4.28 0.16–4.76 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 3.37 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 7.85 4.24–11.45 3.29–12.41 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 12.90 8.98–16.83 7.89–17.92 | 10.83 7.27–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 23.73 16.24–31.22 14.19–33.27 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.64 4.93–12.47 | 7.15 4.47–9.83 3.73–10.57 | 15.85 10.23–21.47 8.66–23.04 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.17 0.86–5.72 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.68–4.97 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.68 2.68–8.25 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.42 | 9.35 5.13–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 51.50 44.71–58.29 43.04–59.96 | 48.89 42.11–55.68 40.43–57.35 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 425 358–493 340–511 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 818 684–952 649–987 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.03 62.00–70.05 60.70–71.35 | 68.87 64.55–73.19 63.24–74.50 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 15.52 12.69–18.36 11.93–19.12 | 14.53 11.58–17.47 10.83–18.22 | 30.05 24.27–35.83 22.76–37.34 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.51 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.21 2.03–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 2.88 1.32–4.43 0.90–4.86 | 5.17 2.18–8.16 1.37–8.98 | 31% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+