Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.342.57safe0.26–2.200.49–2.200.75–4.39safer0.01–2.450.26–2.430.27–4.87
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.798.64safe1.99–5.713.05–6.535.04–12.25safer1.50–6.202.58–7.004.08–13.20
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9514.6126.56safe8.03–15.8811.04–18.1719.07–34.04safer6.93–16.9710.08–19.1317.02–36.09
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction6.828.7015.52safe3.88–9.766.02–11.389.90–21.15safer3.05–10.595.29–12.128.33–22.71
Blocked shots
37%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.476.59safe1.23–5.001.82–5.133.05–10.12safer0.69–5.541.33–5.622.02–11.16
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.499.18safe2.47–6.902.49–6.494.96–13.39safer1.90–7.471.96–7.033.86–14.50
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.3146.47safe47.52–61.1039.68–53.25safer45.85–62.7738.01–54.92
Passes
78%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction481387868safe414–548321–453734–1002safer396–566303–471699–1037
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.2670.30safe64.23–72.2965.97–74.62safer62.94–73.5864.66–75.93
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2416.2730.51safe11.40–17.0813.32–19.2124.72–36.29safer10.65–17.8312.57–19.9623.22–37.79
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.833.48safe0.49–2.810.74–2.921.23–5.74safer0.19–3.120.45–3.210.64–6.33
Yellow cards
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.714.99safe1.23–3.331.58–3.842.81–7.17safer0.96–3.601.29–4.132.25–7.72
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.27safe0.00–0.320.00–0.300.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.645.67safe1.59–4.471.08–4.192.68–8.66safer1.21–4.850.66–4.621.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 4.79 3.05–6.53 2.58–7.00 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.20 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.95 8.03–15.88 6.93–16.97 | 14.61 11.04–18.17 10.08–19.13 | 26.56 19.07–34.04 17.02–36.09 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 6.82 3.88–9.76 3.05–10.59 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.29–12.12 | 15.52 9.90–21.15 8.33–22.71 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.47 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 37% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.69 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.47 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 9.18 4.96–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 54.31 47.52–61.10 45.85–62.77 | 46.47 39.68–53.25 38.01–54.92 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–566 | 387 321–453 303–471 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 78% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.26 64.23–72.29 62.94–73.58 | 70.30 65.97–74.62 64.66–75.93 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 14.24 11.40–17.08 10.65–17.83 | 16.27 13.32–19.21 12.57–19.96 | 30.51 24.72–36.29 23.22–37.79 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.12 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.60 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.99 2.81–7.17 2.25–7.72 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.47 1.21–4.85 | 2.64 1.08–4.19 0.66–4.62 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+