Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.732.97safe1.27–3.210.00–1.581.15–4.79safer1.02–3.460.00–1.810.67–5.27
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.982.328.30safe4.12–7.840.58–4.074.70–11.91safer3.63–8.330.12–4.533.74–12.86
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction17.567.3324.90safe13.64–21.493.77–10.9017.41–32.39safer12.55–22.582.81–11.8615.36–34.44
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.544.9416.48safe8.60–14.482.26–7.6210.85–22.10safer7.77–15.311.52–8.369.29–23.67
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.201.886.08safe2.32–6.090.23–3.532.55–9.62safer1.78–6.630.00–4.021.51–10.65
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.122.759.87safe4.90–9.330.75–4.755.66–14.08safer4.33–9.900.22–5.294.55–15.19
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.3036.91safe55.51–69.0930.13–43.70safer53.84–70.7628.46–45.37
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction523299821safe456–590232–365688–955safer437–608215–383652–991
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction76.3465.48safe72.31–80.3761.16–69.81safer71.02–81.6659.85–71.12
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4213.0228.44safe12.58–18.2510.08–15.9622.65–34.22safer11.82–19.019.33–16.7121.15–35.72
Offsides
55%
18%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.074.90safe1.68–4.000.97–3.162.65–7.16safer1.38–4.300.68–3.452.06–7.75
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.714.56safe0.80–2.901.58–3.842.38–6.74safer0.53–3.171.29–4.131.83–7.30
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
13%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.773.805.56safe0.33–3.202.24–5.352.57–8.56safer0.00–3.591.82–5.781.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.27–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.84 3.63–8.33 | 2.32 0.58–4.07 0.12–4.53 | 8.30 4.70–11.91 3.74–12.86 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.56 13.64–21.49 12.55–22.58 | 7.33 3.77–10.90 2.81–11.86 | 24.90 17.41–32.39 15.36–34.44 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.60–14.48 7.77–15.31 | 4.94 2.26–7.62 1.52–8.36 | 16.48 10.85–22.10 9.29–23.67 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 1.88 0.23–3.53 0.00–4.02 | 6.08 2.55–9.62 1.51–10.65 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.90–9.33 4.33–9.90 | 2.75 0.75–4.75 0.22–5.29 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.30 55.51–69.09 53.84–70.76 | 36.91 30.13–43.70 28.46–45.37 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 437–608 | 299 232–365 215–383 | 821 688–955 652–991 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.34 72.31–80.37 71.02–81.66 | 65.48 61.16–69.81 59.85–71.12 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 15.42 12.58–18.25 11.82–19.01 | 13.02 10.08–15.96 9.33–16.71 | 28.44 22.65–34.22 21.15–35.72 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.84 1.68–4.00 1.38–4.30 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.45 | 4.90 2.65–7.16 2.06–7.75 | 55% 18% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.17 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.56 2.38–6.74 1.83–7.30 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 1.77 0.33–3.20 0.00–3.59 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.82–5.78 | 5.56 2.57–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 13% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.