Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.602.74safe0.17–2.110.75–2.460.92–4.56safer0.00–2.360.52–2.690.44–5.04
Shots on target
36%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.548.53safe2.13–5.852.79–6.284.92–12.13safer1.64–6.342.33–6.753.97–13.09
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6712.9425.61safe8.75–16.609.37–16.5018.12–33.10safer7.66–17.698.42–17.4616.07–35.15
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.318.5915.90safe4.37–10.255.91–11.2710.28–21.53safer3.54–11.085.17–12.018.71–23.09
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.787.06safe1.40–5.172.13–5.433.53–10.60safer0.86–5.711.63–5.922.49–11.63
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.889.68safe2.59–7.012.88–6.885.47–13.89safer2.01–7.592.35–7.414.36–15.00
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.9956.23safe38.20–51.7849.45–63.02safer36.53–53.4547.78–64.69
Passes
28%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction366434800safe299–433368–501667–934safer281–452350–518631–970
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.4076.96safe64.37–72.4372.63–81.28safer63.07–73.7271.32–82.59
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7614.2731.03safe13.93–19.6011.32–17.2125.25–36.81safer13.17–20.3610.57–17.9623.74–38.32
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.503.08safe0.42–2.740.41–2.600.83–5.34safer0.12–3.040.12–2.880.24–5.92
Yellow cards
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.635.28safe1.60–3.701.50–3.763.11–7.46safer1.34–3.971.21–4.052.55–8.02
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.150.30safe0.00–0.310.00–0.330.00–0.65safer0.00–0.460.00–0.460.00–0.93
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.785.76safe1.54–4.411.23–4.342.76–8.75safer1.15–4.800.80–4.761.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.13–5.85 1.64–6.34 | 4.54 2.79–6.28 2.33–6.75 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 36% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.75–16.60 7.66–17.69 | 12.94 9.37–16.50 8.42–17.46 | 25.61 18.12–33.10 16.07–35.15 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.37–10.25 3.54–11.08 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 15.90 10.28–21.53 8.71–23.09 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 3.78 2.13–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.59–7.01 2.01–7.59 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 44.99 38.20–51.78 36.53–53.45 | 56.23 49.45–63.02 47.78–64.69 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 366 299–433 281–452 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 800 667–934 631–970 | 28% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.40 64.37–72.43 63.07–73.72 | 76.96 72.63–81.28 71.32–82.59 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 16.76 13.93–19.60 13.17–20.36 | 14.27 11.32–17.21 10.57–17.96 | 31.03 25.25–36.81 23.74–38.32 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.88 | 3.08 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.92 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.65 1.60–3.70 1.34–3.97 | 2.63 1.50–3.76 1.21–4.05 | 5.28 3.11–7.46 2.55–8.02 | 41% 18% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 5.76 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.