Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·
Super League 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
24%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.861.722.58safe0.00–1.830.86–2.570.76–4.40safer0.00–2.080.64–2.800.28–4.88
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.335.368.69safe1.46–5.193.62–7.105.08–12.29safer0.97–5.683.15–7.574.13–13.25
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9314.8424.76safe6.00–13.8511.27–18.4017.28–32.25safer4.91–14.9410.31–19.3615.23–34.30
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.959.9315.87safe3.00–8.897.24–12.6110.25–21.49safer2.17–9.726.51–13.348.68–23.06
Blocked shots
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.796.22safe0.55–4.312.14–5.442.68–9.75safer0.00–4.851.65–5.941.65–10.79
Corners
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.675.839.50safe1.46–5.893.83–7.835.29–13.72safer0.89–6.463.30–8.364.18–14.82
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.7858.70safe35.99–49.5751.92–65.49safer34.32–51.2450.25–67.16
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction355479833safe287–422412–545700–967safer269–440395–563664–1003
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.7874.84safe58.75–66.8170.51–79.16safer57.46–68.1069.21–80.47
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4615.7929.25safe10.62–16.3012.85–18.7323.47–35.03safer9.87–17.0512.10–19.4821.96–36.54
Offsides
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.524.80safe1.12–3.441.43–3.622.55–7.06safer0.82–3.741.14–3.901.96–7.64
Yellow cards
42%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.434.92safe1.44–3.541.30–3.562.74–7.10safer1.18–3.811.01–3.852.18–7.65
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.455.97safe2.08–4.950.90–4.012.97–8.96safer1.69–5.340.47–4.432.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.64–2.80 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 19% 24% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.33 1.46–5.19 0.97–5.68 | 5.36 3.62–7.10 3.15–7.57 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 9.93 6.00–13.85 4.91–14.94 | 14.84 11.27–18.40 10.31–19.36 | 24.76 17.28–32.25 15.23–34.30 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 5.95 3.00–8.89 2.17–9.72 | 9.93 7.24–12.61 6.51–13.34 | 15.87 10.25–21.49 8.68–23.06 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.43 0.55–4.31 0.00–4.85 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.65–5.94 | 6.22 2.68–9.75 1.65–10.79 | 22% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 3.67 1.46–5.89 0.89–6.46 | 5.83 3.83–7.83 3.30–8.36 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 19% 70% |
| Possession % | 42.78 35.99–49.57 34.32–51.24 | 58.70 51.92–65.49 50.25–67.16 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 355 287–422 269–440 | 479 412–545 395–563 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.78 58.75–66.81 57.46–68.10 | 74.84 70.51–79.16 69.21–80.47 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.30 9.87–17.05 | 15.79 12.85–18.73 12.10–19.48 | 29.25 23.47–35.03 21.96–36.54 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 2.52 1.43–3.62 1.14–3.90 | 4.80 2.55–7.06 1.96–7.64 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.49 1.44–3.54 1.18–3.81 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.92 2.74–7.10 2.18–7.65 | 42% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.45 0.90–4.01 0.47–4.43 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+